arXiv:2412.00167cs.LGcs.AI2024-12

用物理特性建模城市出行需求,更懂区域功能差异。

Origin-Destination Demand Prediction: An Urban Radiation and Attraction Perspective

  • 构建双分支网络融合区域属性表征辐射与吸引能力
  • 通过超图生成参数捕捉同一区域能力的时段转换
  • 用聚类对抗学习揭示同类吸引区的竞争关系,解释性强

近年来,起讫点(OD)需求预测因对城市发展的重要意义而受到广泛关注。现有数据驱动的深度学习方法多关注区域间的空间或时间依赖性,却忽视了区域的根本功能差异。尽管知识驱动的物理方法通过辐射与吸引能力刻画区域功能,但这些能力仅基于人口等数值因子定义,未考虑区域的固有属性(如住宅区、工业区)。此外,物理方法完全忽略了两类能力之间的复杂关系,例如住宅区在早高峰的辐射能力会在晚高峰转化为吸引能力。本文不仅将物理辐射与吸引能力拓展至深度学习框架,使其能刻画区域功能,还提出新模型捕捉不同能力间的动态转换关系。具体而言,首先利用双分支网络结合区域属性表示来建模辐射与吸引能力;其次采用基于超图的参数生成方法描述同一区域不同能力间的转换关系;最后通过基于聚类的对抗学习揭示具有相同吸引能力的不同区域间的竞争关系。在两个数据集上的大量实验表明,该方法持续优于当前最优基线,且能通过名义属性实现区域功能的良好可解释性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

In recent years, origin-destination (OD) demand prediction has gained significant attention for its profound implications in urban development. Existing data-driven deep learning methods primarily focus on the spatial or temporal dependency between regions yet neglecting regions' fundamental functional difference. Though knowledge-driven physical methods have characterised regions' functions by their radiation and attraction capacities, these functions are defined on numerical factors like population without considering regions' intrinsic nominal attributes, e.g., a region is a residential or industrial district. Moreover, the complicated relationships between two types of capacities, e.g., the radiation capacity of a residential district in the morning will be transformed into the attraction capacity in the evening, are totally missing from physical methods. In this paper, we not only generalize the physical radiation and attraction capacities into the deep learning framework with the extended capability to fulfil regions' functions, but also present a new model that captures the relationships between two types of capacities. Specifically, we first model regions' radiation and attraction capacities using a bilateral branch network, each equipped with regions' attribute representations. We then describe the transformation relationship of different capacities of the same region using a hypergraph-based parameter generation method. We finally unveil the competition relationship of different regions with the same attraction capacity through cluster-based adversarial learning. Extensive experiments on two datasets demonstrate the consistent improvements of our method over the state-of-the-art baselines, as well as the good explainability of regions' functions using their nominal attributes.

OD预测城市计算可解释性

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。