用贝叶斯神经网络量化电机齿轮故障诊断的不确定性,提升模型鲁棒性与可解释性。
Uncertainty-Aware Artificial Intelligence for Gear Fault Diagnosis in Motor Drives
- 采用贝叶斯神经网络,将权重视为概率分布而非固定值,实现不确定性建模。
- 在3种故障类型数据上验证,对噪声和未知故障场景保持高鲁棒性。
- 适合关注模型可信度与故障诊断安全性的工业智能系统开发者。
本文提出一种基于贝叶斯神经网络(BNN)的新方法,用于量化电机驱动系统中齿轮故障诊断的不确定性。传统数据驱动方法依赖点估计神经网络,仅输出确定性结果,无法捕捉推理过程中的不确定性。相比之下,BNN通过将网络权重建模为概率分布,提供了一种严谨的不确定性建模框架,具有三大优势:(a) 提升对噪声数据的鲁棒性;(b) 增强预测结果的可解释性;(c) 可量化决策过程中的置信度。为验证所提BNN的鲁棒性,首先在实验原型机采集的三类故障数据构成的保守数据集上测试,随后逐步引入新故障类别与数据集进行增量训练,以探究其在噪声数据及未见故障场景下的不确定性量化能力与模型可解释性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
This paper introduces a novel approach to quantify the uncertainties in fault diagnosis of motor drives using Bayesian neural networks (BNN). Conventional data-driven approaches used for fault diagnosis often rely on point-estimate neural networks, which merely provide deterministic outputs and fail to capture the uncertainty associated with the inference process. In contrast, BNNs offer a principled framework to model uncertainty by treating network weights as probability distributions rather than fixed values. It offers several advantages: (a) improved robustness to noisy data, (b) enhanced interpretability of model predictions, and (c) the ability to quantify uncertainty in the decision-making processes. To test the robustness of the proposed BNN, it has been tested under a conservative dataset of gear fault data from an experimental prototype of three fault types at first, and is then incrementally trained on new fault classes and datasets to explore its uncertainty quantification features and model interpretability under noisy data and unseen fault scenarios.
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