arXiv:2412.03390cs.CEcs.AI2024-12被引 7

用生成式AI提升供应链关系预测准确率,增强风险可视性。

Enhancing Supply Chain Visibility with Generative AI: An Exploratory Case Study on Relationship Prediction in Knowledge Graphs

  • 结合预训练语言模型与机器学习,构建生成式AI增强的关系预测框架。
  • 在真实案例中超越所有基线模型,显著提升关系预测精度。
  • 适合关注供应链风险管理和知识图谱应用的研究者与从业者。

企业与政策制定者在供应链风险管理中面临的主要障碍是缺乏对相互依赖的供应链网络关系的可见性。关系预测(即链接预测)是供应链监控研究中的新兴领域,旨在通过数据驱动技术提高供应链透明度。现有方法虽能有效预测关系,但难以捕捉关系所处的上下文信息,如供应产品或来源地点。上下文缺失导致难以区分交易关系与长期供应链关系,影响风险评估准确性。本文提出一种新型生成式人工智能(Gen AI)增强的机器学习框架,利用预训练语言模型作为嵌入模型,结合机器学习模型,在知识图谱中预测供应链关系。通过整合生成式AI技术,该方法能够捕捉实体间的语义关联,从而提升供应链可见性,支持更精准的风险管理。基于真实案例数据,实验表明该方法优于所有基准模型,并验证了生成式AI在供应链风险管理中的可行性和有效性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

A key stumbling block in effective supply chain risk management for companies and policymakers is a lack of visibility on interdependent supply network relationships. Relationship prediction, also called link prediction is an emergent area of supply chain surveillance research that aims to increase the visibility of supply chains using data-driven techniques. Existing methods have been successful for predicting relationships but struggle to extract the context in which these relationships are embedded - such as the products being supplied or locations they are supplied from. Lack of context prevents practitioners from distinguishing transactional relations from established supply chain relations, hindering accurate estimations of risk. In this work, we develop a new Generative Artificial Intelligence (Gen AI) enhanced machine learning framework that leverages pre-trained language models as embedding models combined with machine learning models to predict supply chain relationships within knowledge graphs. By integrating Generative AI techniques, our approach captures the nuanced semantic relationships between entities, thereby improving supply chain visibility and facilitating more precise risk management. Using data from a real case study, we show that GenAI-enhanced link prediction surpasses all benchmarks, and demonstrate how GenAI models can be explored and effectively used in supply chain risk management.

生成式AI供应链知识图谱关系预测

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