用生成模型加速科学建模中的不确定性量化,比传统方法快得多。
GenAI4UQ: A Software for Inverse Uncertainty Quantification Using Conditional Generative Models
- 用条件生成模型直接映射观测数据到参数,跳过繁琐迭代
- 在真实数据上实现快速参数估计与预测,计算效率提升显著
- 无需调参经验,适合不同背景的科研人员使用
我们提出GenAI4UQ,一个用于科学应用中模型校准、参数估计和集合预报的逆不确定性量化软件包。该工具基于生成式人工智能的条件建模框架,克服了传统逆建模方法(如马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛)计算成本高的局限。通过用学习得到的直接映射替代耗时的迭代过程,GenAI4UQ实现了从观测数据快速校准模型输入参数并生成输出预测。其设计支持高效集合预报与可靠的不确定性量化,同时保持高计算与存储效率。软件内置超参数自动调优功能,简化训练流程,降低使用门槛。条件生成框架具备高度通用性,适用于广泛科学领域。核心在于将逆建模范式转变为快速、可靠且用户友好的解决方案,助力研究者快速估算参数分布并为新观测生成预测,推动计算建模中不确定性量化的发展。(代码与数据见https://github.com/patrickfan/GenAI4UQ)
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
We introduce GenAI4UQ, a software package for inverse uncertainty quantification in model calibration, parameter estimation, and ensemble forecasting in scientific applications. GenAI4UQ leverages a generative artificial intelligence (AI) based conditional modeling framework to address the limitations of traditional inverse modeling techniques, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. By replacing computationally intensive iterative processes with a direct, learned mapping, GenAI4UQ enables efficient calibration of model input parameters and generation of output predictions directly from observations. The software's design allows for rapid ensemble forecasting with robust uncertainty quantification, while maintaining high computational and storage efficiency. GenAI4UQ simplifies the model training process through built-in auto-tuning of hyperparameters, making it accessible to users with varying levels of expertise. Its conditional generative framework ensures versatility, enabling applicability across a wide range of scientific domains. At its core, GenAI4UQ transforms the paradigm of inverse modeling by providing a fast, reliable, and user-friendly solution. It empowers researchers and practitioners to quickly estimate parameter distributions and generate model predictions for new observations, facilitating efficient decision-making and advancing the state of uncertainty quantification in computational modeling. (The code and data are available at https://github.com/patrickfan/GenAI4UQ).
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