arXiv:2412.07737eess.SPcs.LG2024-12中稿 · Cardio-Oncology BM…被引 7

用心电图和可解释机器学习,非侵入式诊断癌症,适合资源有限地区。

Explainable machine learning for neoplasms diagnosis via electrocardiograms: an externally validated study

  • 结合树模型与沙普利值分析,实现心电图数据的可解释诊断。
  • 在内外部验证中均达高准确率,发现多个关键心电特征。
  • 方法低成本、易扩展,适合基层医疗,揭示癌变与心脏关联。

背景:肿瘤是全球主要死亡原因之一,早期诊断对改善预后至关重要。现有诊断方法常具侵入性、成本高,在资源匮乏地区难以普及。本研究探索利用广泛可用且无创的心电图(ECG)数据,通过肿瘤相关的心血管变化实现肿瘤诊断。方法:构建融合树基机器学习模型与沙普利值可解释性分析的诊断流程,模型在大规模数据集上训练并内部验证,同时在独立队列中外部验证以确保稳健性和泛化能力。识别并分析关键心电特征。结果:模型在内部测试和外部验证队列中均表现出高诊断准确性。沙普利值分析揭示了显著的ECG特征,包括若干新发现的预测因子。该方法成本低、可扩展,适用于资源受限环境,为肿瘤与心血管变化的相互作用提供新见解,支持其融入更广泛的诊疗框架。结论:本研究证实了利用心电图信号与机器学习进行非侵入性肿瘤诊断的可行性。通过提供关于心-肿瘤交互关系的可解释洞察,填补了现有诊断空白,支持临床整合。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Background: Neoplasms are a major cause of mortality globally, where early diagnosis is essential for improving outcomes. Current diagnostic methods are often invasive, expensive, and inaccessible in resource-limited settings. This study explores the potential of electrocardiogram (ECG) data, a widely available and non-invasive tool for diagnosing neoplasms through cardiovascular changes linked to neoplastic presence. Methods: A diagnostic pipeline combining tree-based machine learning models with Shapley value analysis for explainability was developed. The model was trained and internally validated on a large dataset and externally validated on an independent cohort to ensure robustness and generalizability. Key ECG features contributing to predictions were identified and analyzed. Results: The model achieved high diagnostic accuracy in both internal testing and external validation cohorts. Shapley value analysis highlighted significant ECG features, including novel predictors. The approach is cost-effective, scalable, and suitable for resource-limited settings, offering insights into cardiovascular changes associated with neoplasms and their therapies. Conclusions: This study demonstrates the feasibility of using ECG signals and machine learning for non-invasive neoplasm diagnosis. By providing interpretable insights into cardio-neoplasm interactions, this method addresses gaps in diagnostics and supports integration into broader diagnostic and therapeutic frameworks.

心电图癌症诊断可解释AI机器学习

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