arXiv:2412.08273cs.AI2024-12被引 8

探讨AI能否真正推动文明变革,揭示其潜力与挑战

Can transformative AI shape a new age for our civilization?: Navigating between speculation and reality

  • 分析历史技术突破,评估AI是否具备变革性潜力
  • 指出伦理、社会与监管障碍是实现变革的关键瓶颈
  • 适合关注AI长远影响的政策制定者与研究者阅读

人工智能被视为可能重塑人类文明多个领域的变革力量。尽管人工智能已从科幻走向技术进步的核心,但其作为真正变革性力量(即变革型人工智能)的角色仍存争议。本文回顾技术突破的历史先例,探讨人工智能是否能达到类似影响,并深入分析塑造人工智能认知与发展的各类伦理框架。同时,文章考察了实现全球变革所需应对的社会、技术和监管挑战。我们不仅探讨促成变革型人工智能的战略与方法,也审视可能导致目标无法实现的障碍。最后,本文提出关键问题:达到变革型人工智能是否会迫使人类采用全新的伦理范式,以应对高级人工智能带来的复杂性。通过综合考量人工智能发展的伦理、社会与科学维度,本研究为人工智能长期影响及其推动文明迈向新纪元或加剧不平等与风险的广泛讨论做出贡献。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Artificial Intelligence is widely regarded as a transformative force with the potential to redefine numerous sectors of human civilization. While Artificial Intelligence has evolved from speculative fiction to a pivotal element of technological progress, its role as a truly transformative agent, or transformative Artificial Intelligence, remains a subject of debate. This work explores the historical precedents of technological breakthroughs, examining whether Artificial Intelligence can achieve a comparable impact, and it delves into various ethical frameworks that shape the perception and development of Artificial Intelligence. Additionally, it considers the societal, technical, and regulatory challenges that must be addressed for Artificial Intelligence to become a catalyst for global change. We also examine not only the strategies and methodologies that could lead to transformative Artificial Intelligence but also the barriers that could ultimately make these goals unattainable. We end with a critical inquiry into whether reaching a transformative Artificial Intelligence might compel humanity to adopt an entirely new ethical approach, tailored to the complexities of advanced Artificial Intelligence. By addressing the ethical, social, and scientific dimensions of Artificial Intelligence's development, this work contributes to the broader discourse on the long-term implications of Artificial Intelligence and its capacity to drive civilization toward a new era of progress or, conversely, exacerbate existing inequalities and risks.

AI伦理技术变革未来展望

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