用迁移学习估算路口转弯流量,降低对传感器依赖。
Data-Driven Transfer Learning Framework for Estimating Turning Movement Counts
- 基于交通控制器数据与地理信息的迁移学习框架
- 在30个路口测试中误差低于8种主流模型
- 适合缺乏传感器的城市交通规划与信号优化
城市交通网络对人员与货物高效流动至关重要,需有效交通管理与规划。路口转弯流量(TMC)是交通管理的核心,直接影响信号控制、拥堵缓解与道路安全。传统方法依赖安装于路口的物理传感器,但成本高且技术挑战大,尤其对路网密集的城市。近年来,机器学习与数据驱动方法为估算TMC提供了新路径。然而,因道路几何、信号设置及驾驶行为差异,不同路口间存在显著领域差异,制约了模型泛化能力与准确性。为此,本文提出一种新型迁移学习框架,利用交通控制器事件数据、道路基础设施数据与兴趣点(POI)数据估算路口转弯流量。在亚利桑那州图森市30个路口上的评估显示,所提迁移学习模型在均方误差(MSE)与均绝对误差(MAE)上均优于8种先进回归模型。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Urban transportation networks are vital for the efficient movement of people and goods, necessitating effective traffic management and planning. An integral part of traffic management is understanding the turning movement counts (TMCs) at intersections, Accurate TMCs at intersections are crucial for traffic signal control, congestion mitigation, and road safety. In general, TMCs are obtained using physical sensors installed at intersections, but this approach can be cost-prohibitive and technically challenging, especially for cities with extensive road networks. Recent advancements in machine learning and data-driven approaches have offered promising alternatives for estimating TMCs. Traffic patterns can vary significantly across different intersections due to factors such as road geometry, traffic signal settings, and local driver behaviors. This domain discrepancy limits the generalizability and accuracy of machine learning models when applied to new or unseen intersections. In response to these limitations, this research proposes a novel framework leveraging transfer learning (TL) to estimate TMCs at intersections by using traffic controller event-based data, road infrastructure data, and point-of-interest (POI) data. Evaluated on 30 intersections in Tucson, Arizona, the performance of the proposed TL model was compared with eight state-of-the-art regression models and achieved the lowest values in terms of Mean Absolute Error and Root Mean Square Error.
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