用知识蒸馏提升RNN注意力模型,实现课程早期精准识别高风险学生
Knowledge Distillation in RNN-Attention Models for Early Prediction of Student Performance
- 融合RNN与注意力机制,逐时预测学生表现并聚焦关键学习阶段
- 在课程第1-6周预测中达到0.61的F1值,比传统模型显著提升
- 适合教育数据挖掘研究者构建早期预警系统
教育数据挖掘(EDM)致力于自动分析学习环境中的数据。早期识别高风险学生是其核心研究课题,有助于教师及时干预,避免辍学或失败。以往研究多基于课程结束后的完整数据进行预测,难以应对学生提前退出的真实场景。为此,本文提出RNN-Attention-KD框架,利用循环神经网络处理时间序列数据,在每节课阶段预测学生表现,并通过注意力机制聚焦关键时间节点以提升准确率。同时引入知识蒸馏技术压缩时间步,实现更早预测。实证结果显示,该框架在全部四个年度课程数据集上,第1-3周的召回率为0.49、F1为0.51,第1-6周分别达0.51和0.61。消融实验表明,来自RNN隐藏层的提示损失和注意力模块的上下文向量损失可有效提升预测性能。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Educational data mining (EDM) is a part of applied computing that focuses on automatically analyzing data from learning contexts. Early prediction for identifying at-risk students is a crucial and widely researched topic in EDM research. It enables instructors to support at-risk students to stay on track, preventing student dropout or failure. Previous studies have predicted students' learning performance to identify at-risk students by using machine learning on data collected from e-learning platforms. However, most studies aimed to identify at-risk students utilizing the entire course data after the course finished. This does not correspond to the real-world scenario that at-risk students may drop out before the course ends. To address this problem, we introduce an RNN-Attention-KD (knowledge distillation) framework to predict at-risk students early throughout a course. It leverages the strengths of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) in handling time-sequence data to predict students' performance at each time step and employs an attention mechanism to focus on relevant time steps for improved predictive accuracy. At the same time, KD is applied to compress the time steps to facilitate early prediction. In an empirical evaluation, RNN-Attention-KD outperforms traditional neural network models in terms of recall and F1-measure. For example, it obtained recall and F1-measure of 0.49 and 0.51 for Weeks 1--3 and 0.51 and 0.61 for Weeks 1--6 across all datasets from four years of a university course. Then, an ablation study investigated the contributions of different knowledge transfer methods (distillation objectives). We found that hint loss from the hidden layer of RNN and context vector loss from the attention module on RNN could enhance the model's prediction performance for identifying at-risk students. These results are relevant for EDM researchers employing deep learning models.
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