arXiv:2412.15105eess.SPcs.AI2024-12

通过物理与机器学习协同,提升电网态势感知的鲁棒性与效率

Exploiting sparse structures and synergy designs to advance situational awareness of electrical power grid

  • 基于电路建模与稀疏优化,融合物理规律与数据驱动
  • 在真实电网场景下实现对黑启动和异常数据的精准定位
  • 适合电网安全、智能运维及电力系统研究者参考

日益增长的不确定性、异常事件和网络攻击威胁,亟需提升电力系统态势感知能力,使运行人员能准确掌握当前与未来状态。仿真与估计是核心工具,但现有方法在鲁棒性与效率上存在不足:传统稳态仿真器对停电不鲁棒,常无法收敛或输出无效结果;估计算法对异常数据敏感,易产生错误状态。此外,非线性与可扩展性问题导致大规模系统收敛缓慢。本文通过双路径贡献填补这些空白:首先突破物理与数据驱动方法的固有局限,进而提出‘物理-机器学习协同’新范式,整合两者优势。方法基于电路公式化建模,统一适用于输电与配电系统;稀疏优化作为关键机制,使工具天然具备抗随机威胁能力,可精准识别(随机)停电源与数据错误。进一步探索稀疏性利用优化,构建轻量级机器学习模型,其预测与检测能力补充物理工具,同时提升泛化性与可扩展性。最终,通过将物理工具与轻量级机器学习互联,物理-机器学习协同在应对定向网络攻击时进一步增强鲁棒性与效率。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The growing threats of uncertainties, anomalies, and cyberattacks on power grids are driving a critical need to advance situational awareness which allows system operators to form a complete and accurate picture of the present and future state. Simulation and estimation are foundational tools in this process. However, existing tools lack the robustness and efficiency required to achieve the level of situational awareness needed for the ever-evolving threat landscape. Industry-standard (steady-state) simulators are not robust to blackouts, often leading to non-converging or non-actionable results. Estimation tools lack robustness to anomalous data, returning erroneous system states. Efficiency is the other major concern as nonlinearities and scalability issues make large systems slow to converge. This thesis addresses robustness and efficiency gaps through a dual-fold contribution. We first address the inherent limitations in the existing physics-based and data-driven worlds; and then transcend the boundaries of conventional algorithmic design in the direction of a new paradigm -- Physics-ML Synergy -- which integrates the strengths of the two worlds. Our approaches are built on circuit formulation which provides a unified framework that applies to both transmission and distribution. Sparse optimization acts as the key enabler to make these tools intrinsically robust and immune to random threats, pinpointing dominant sources of (random) blackouts and data errors. Further, we explore sparsity-exploiting optimizations to develop lightweight ML models whose prediction and detection capabilities are a complement to physics-based tools; and whose lightweight designs advance generalization and scalability. Finally, Physics-ML Synergy brings robustness and efficiency further against targeted cyberthreats, by interconnecting our physics-based tools with lightweight ML.

电网安全物理建模稀疏优化协同学习

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