用空间聚类优化公民科学数据,提升物种分布模型精度。
Spatial Clustering of Citizen Science Data Improves Downstream Species Distribution Models
- 基于空间聚类构建观测站点,兼顾地理与环境相似性。
- 对31种鸟类建模显示,新方法显著提升分布预测准确率。
- 适合从事生态监测与物种分布研究的学者使用。
公民科学生物多样性数据为生态学和保护工作提供了跨大时空尺度的巨大机遇。然而,这些数据具有偶然性,缺乏模型所需的标准采样结构,尤其面临一个普遍挑战:检测不完善,即实地调查中可能低估物种实际存在概率。占据模型通过将观察过程与栖息地选择的生物学过程分离,显式建模检测不完善问题,从而生成在修正数据误差后反映物种真实分布的模型。此类模型要求对同一地点进行多次调查,且假设地点状态(被占据或未被占据)在调查期间保持不变。由于公民科学数据未按重复访问协议采集,需事后对观测进行站点分组。现有站点构建方法要么丢弃部分观测,要么仅考虑地理距离而忽略环境相似性。本研究评估了十种站点构建方法对俄勒冈州31种鸟类物种分布模型的影响,使用eBird数据库中的观测数据。结果表明,采用空间聚类算法构建的站点能显著提升下游占据模型的表现。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Citizen science biodiversity data present great opportunities for ecology and conservation across vast spatial and temporal scales. However, the opportunistic nature of these data lacks the sampling structure required by modeling methodologies that address a pervasive challenge in ecological data collection: imperfect detection, i.e., the likelihood of under-observing species on field surveys. Occupancy modeling is an example of an approach that accounts for imperfect detection by explicitly modeling the observation process separately from the biological process of habitat selection. This produces species distribution models that speak to the pattern of the species on a landscape after accounting for imperfect detection in the data, rather than the pattern of species observations corrupted by errors. To achieve this benefit, occupancy models require multiple surveys of a site across which the site's status (i.e., occupied or not) is assumed constant. Since citizen science data are not collected under the required repeated-visit protocol, observations may be grouped into sites post hoc. Existing approaches for constructing sites discard some observations and/or consider only geographic distance and not environmental similarity. In this study, we compare ten approaches for site construction in terms of their impact on downstream species distribution models for 31 bird species in Oregon, using observations recorded in the eBird database. We find that occupancy models built on sites constructed by spatial clustering algorithms perform better than existing alternatives.
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