用搜索记录联合建模,提升多日交通预测精度
FRTP: Federating Route Search Records to Enhance Long-term Traffic Prediction
- 将原始搜索日志直接融入学习流程,统一处理不同时间粒度
- 在多个数据集上实现优于传统方法的长周期预测准确率
- 适合需要高效融合异构交通数据的智能交通系统研发
精准的交通预测,尤其是提前数天的预测,对智能交通系统至关重要。此类预测支持中长期交通优化,有助于高效交通规划。然而,多样化的外部特征、复杂的时空关系以及时间不确定性显著增加了模型复杂性。此外,传统方法将数据预处理与学习模型分离,导致反复试错训练效率低下。本文提出一种联邦架构,可直接从具有不同特征和时间粒度的原始数据中学习。模型采用统一设计,兼容不同类型特征、时间尺度和时长。实验聚焦于联合路由搜索记录,首先在模型框架内处理原始数据。不同于传统方法,该方法将数据联邦阶段嵌入学习过程,支持多种时间频率及输入输出配置。通过多种学习模式和参数设置验证,结果表明在线搜索日志对长周期交通预测有效,凸显模型的适应性与效率。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurate traffic prediction, especially predicting traffic conditions several days in advance is essential for intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Such predictions enable mid- and long-term traffic optimization, which is crucial for efficient transportation planning. However, the inclusion of diverse external features, alongside the complexities of spatial relationships and temporal uncertainties, significantly increases the complexity of forecasting models. Additionally, traditional approaches have handled data preprocessing separately from the learning model, leading to inefficiencies caused by repeated trials of preprocessing and training. In this study, we propose a federated architecture capable of learning directly from raw data with varying features and time granularities or lengths. The model adopts a unified design that accommodates different feature types, time scales, and temporal periods. Our experiments focus on federating route search records and begin by processing raw data within the model framework. Unlike traditional models, this approach integrates the data federation phase into the learning process, enabling compatibility with various time frequencies and input/output configurations. The accuracy of the proposed model is demonstrated through evaluations using diverse learning patterns and parameter settings. The results show that online search log data is useful for forecasting long-term traffic, highlighting the model's adaptability and efficiency.
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