LangYa用AI实现跨时空海气耦合预报,精度超传统方法。
LangYa: Revolutionizing Cross-Spatiotemporal Ocean Forecasting
- 采用时间嵌入与自注意力机制,支持1-7天多时距预报。
- 在GLORYS12数据上训练,热层预报精度显著提升。
- 适合海洋科研人员做高精度全球海洋预测,开启新范式。
海洋预报对科研与社会均有重要意义。当前最精确的系统为全球海洋再分析与模拟系统(GOFS),其将海洋状态变量(OSVs)离散为网格,通过数值方法求解控制海洋状态演化的偏微分方程(PDE)。但该方法计算成本高且累积误差明显。近年来,基于大模型的人工智能(AI)显著提升了预报速度与精度,但构建能实现跨时空、海气耦合的大型AI海洋预报系统仍是重大挑战。本文提出LangYa,一个跨时空且海气耦合的海洋预报系统。结果表明,其时间嵌入模块使单模型可覆盖1至7天预报时效;海气耦合模块有效模拟了海气相互作用;海洋自注意力模块提升网络稳定性并加速训练收敛;自适应温跃层损失函数显著提高温跃层预报精度。相较现有数值与AI预报系统,LangYa使用27年全球海洋数据(来自GLORYS12)训练,对OSVs提供更可靠的确定性预报结果。该系统为全球海洋研究者提供了强大的精准预报工具,开启了海洋科学的新范式。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Ocean forecasting is crucial for both scientific research and societal benefits. Currently, the most accurate forecasting systems are global ocean forecasting systems (GOFSs), which represent the ocean state variables (OSVs) as discrete grids and solve partial differential equations (PDEs) governing the transitions of oceanic state variables using numerical methods. However, GOFSs processes are computationally expensive and prone to cumulative errors. Recently, large artificial intelligence (AI)-based models significantly boosted forecasting speed and accuracy. Unfortunately, building a large AI ocean forecasting system that can be considered cross-spatiotemporal and air-sea coupled forecasts remains a significant challenge. Here, we introduce LangYa, a cross-spatiotemporal and air-sea coupled ocean forecasting system. Results demonstrate that the time embedding module in LangYa enables a single model to make forecasts with lead times ranging from 1 to 7 days. The air-sea coupled module effectively simulates air-sea interactions. The ocean self-attention module improves network stability and accelerates convergence during training, and the adaptive thermocline loss function improves the accuracy of thermocline forecasting. Compared to existing numerical and AI-based ocean forecasting systems, LangYa uses 27 years of global ocean data from the Global Ocean Reanalysis and Simulation version 12 (GLORYS12) for training and achieves more reliable deterministic forecasting results for OSVs. LangYa forecasting system provides global ocean researchers with access to a powerful software tool for accurate ocean forecasting and opens a new paradigm for ocean science.
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