用轨迹图和方向偏好提升位置预测准确率
TrajGEOS: Trajectory Graph Enhanced Orientation-based Sequential Network for Mobility Prediction
- 构建用户轨迹图,融合位置间关系与上下文特征
- 在三个真实数据集上超越现有方法,最高提升6.2%准确率
- 适合城市规划与基于位置服务的算法研发者
人类移动性研究人们为获取所需资源而移动的行为,在城市规划与基于位置的服务中具有重要意义。作为移动性建模的核心任务,下一位置预测因用户历史轨迹的多样性导致复杂移动模式与多变情境而极具挑战。尽管深度序列模型已广泛用于利用轨迹数据的时序特性进行预测,但其未能充分挖掘位置间的关联性,也难以捕捉用户的多层次偏好。本文从用户历史轨迹构建轨迹图,提出一种轨迹图增强的方向性序列网络(TrajGEOS)以解决下一位置预测问题。TrajGEOS引入分层图卷积,学习位置与用户嵌入表示,这些嵌入同时考虑位置上下文特征及其相互关系,并作为下游模块的额外输入。此外,设计方向性模块,从序列建模模块及近期轨迹中学习用户的中期偏好。在三个真实世界LBSN数据集上的大量实验验证了图结构与方向性模块的有效性,结果表明TrajGEOS在下一位置预测任务中优于当前最优方法。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Human mobility studies how people move to access their needed resources and plays a significant role in urban planning and location-based services. As a paramount task of human mobility modeling, next location prediction is challenging because of the diversity of users' historical trajectories that gives rise to complex mobility patterns and various contexts. Deep sequential models have been widely used to predict the next location by leveraging the inherent sequentiality of trajectory data. However, they do not fully leverage the relationship between locations and fail to capture users' multi-level preferences. This work constructs a trajectory graph from users' historical traces and proposes a \textbf{Traj}ectory \textbf{G}raph \textbf{E}nhanced \textbf{O}rientation-based \textbf{S}equential network (TrajGEOS) for next-location prediction tasks. TrajGEOS introduces hierarchical graph convolution to capture location and user embeddings. Such embeddings consider not only the contextual feature of locations but also the relation between them, and serve as additional features in downstream modules. In addition, we design an orientation-based module to learn users' mid-term preferences from sequential modeling modules and their recent trajectories. Extensive experiments on three real-world LBSN datasets corroborate the value of graph and orientation-based modules and demonstrate that TrajGEOS outperforms the state-of-the-art methods on the next location prediction task.
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