arXiv:2412.19392stat.MLcs.LG2024-12

在未知分布情况下,设计出渐近最优的异常点搜索算法

Asymptotically Optimal Search for a Change Point Anomaly under a Composite Hypothesis Model

  • 提出确定性搜索算法,适用于正常与异常状态分布均未知的情形
  • 当错误概率趋近零时,算法使贝叶斯风险达到渐近最优
  • 适合需低误报率、高检测精度的在线异常检测场景

我们研究在有限个M个过程中寻找异常点变化时刻的问题。每个过程生成的观测遵循共同分布,其未知参数(向量)属于正常或异常空间,取决于过程当前状态。变化前所有过程(包括异常过程)均处于正常状态;变化后,异常过程转入异常状态。目标是设计一种序列搜索策略,在样本复杂度与检测精度间平衡,最小化贝叶斯风险。本文提出一种确定性搜索算法,具有显著性质:首先,当正常与异常过程的分布均未知时,该算法在错误概率趋于零的极限下,实现贝叶斯风险的渐近最优;其次,在零假设参数已知的情况下,算法可实现渐近最优且检测时间更优。仿真结果验证了理论结论。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

We address the problem of searching for a change point in an anomalous process among a finite set of M processes. Specifically, we address a composite hypothesis model in which each process generates measurements following a common distribution with an unknown parameter (vector). This parameter belongs to either a normal or abnormal space depending on the current state of the process. Before the change point, all processes, including the anomalous one, are in a normal state; after the change point, the anomalous process transitions to an abnormal state. Our goal is to design a sequential search strategy that minimizes the Bayes risk by balancing sample complexity and detection accuracy. We propose a deterministic search algorithm with the following notable properties. First, we analytically demonstrate that when the distributions of both normal and abnormal processes are unknown, the algorithm is asymptotically optimal in minimizing the Bayes risk as the error probability approaches zero. In the second setting, where the parameter under the null hypothesis is known, the algorithm achieves asymptotic optimality with improved detection time based on the true normal state. Simulation results are presented to validate the theoretical findings.

异常检测变化点贝叶斯优化

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。