用城市摄像头预测氮氧化物污染,助力动态环保政策制定。
Transforming CCTV cameras into NO$_2$ sensors at city scale for adaptive policymaking
- 利用伦敦摄像头交通流数据,结合环境与空间因素建模预测NO₂。
- 基于1.33亿帧视频分析,发现交通模式与污染存在长达6小时延迟关联。
- 无需新设备,可低成本实现城市级污染实时监测,适合城市规划者使用。
城市空气污染,尤其是氮氧化物(NO₂),与多种健康问题相关,从死亡率到儿童注意力缺陷均有影响。尽管全球各地城市已出台减排政策,但实时监测仍因环境传感器数量有限且分布不均而受阻,难以支持随事件和日常活动动态调整的治理策略。本文展示如何将城市闭路电视(CCTV)摄像头转化为伪NO₂传感器。我们采用一种预测图深度模型,结合伦敦摄像头的交通流数据及环境与空间因素,从超过1.33亿帧视频中生成了NO₂浓度预测。对伦敦出行模式的分析揭示了关键的时空关联:特定交通行为会影响NO₂水平,有时延迟可达6小时。例如,夜间仅货车通行,其污染效应最可能在早晨通勤时段显现。这些发现质疑了部分现行城市减排政策的有效性。通过利用现有摄像头基础设施和本研究提出的方法,城市规划者与政策制定者可低成本、高效地监测并缓解NO₂及其他污染物的影响。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Air pollution in cities, especially NO\textsubscript{2}, is linked to numerous health problems, ranging from mortality to mental health challenges and attention deficits in children. While cities globally have initiated policies to curtail emissions, real-time monitoring remains challenging due to limited environmental sensors and their inconsistent distribution. This gap hinders the creation of adaptive urban policies that respond to the sequence of events and daily activities affecting pollution in cities. Here, we demonstrate how city CCTV cameras can act as a pseudo-NO\textsubscript{2} sensors. Using a predictive graph deep model, we utilised traffic flow from London's cameras in addition to environmental and spatial factors, generating NO\textsubscript{2} predictions from over 133 million frames. Our analysis of London's mobility patterns unveiled critical spatiotemporal connections, showing how specific traffic patterns affect NO\textsubscript{2} levels, sometimes with temporal lags of up to 6 hours. For instance, if trucks only drive at night, their effects on NO\textsubscript{2} levels are most likely to be seen in the morning when people commute. These findings cast doubt on the efficacy of some of the urban policies currently being implemented to reduce pollution. By leveraging existing camera infrastructure and our introduced methods, city planners and policymakers could cost-effectively monitor and mitigate the impact of NO\textsubscript{2} and other pollutants.
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