arXiv:2501.00063cs.LGcs.AI2025-01被引 1

用生成模型提升A股数据质量,解决样本少与噪声大的难题。

"Generative Models for Financial Time Series Data: Enhancing Signal-to-Noise Ratio and Addressing Data Scarcity in A-Share Market

  • 分行业合成+去噪扩散模型,提升信号清晰度
  • 短周期股票用模式识别+马尔可夫生成,改善数据稀缺
  • 在多个市场验证有效,适合量化交易研究者

金融行业亟需应对数据稀缺和信噪比低的问题,以推动深度学习在股市分析中的应用。本文提出两种面向中国A股市场的生成模型方法:第一种为基于行业特征的合成方法,通过近似非局部总变差算法平滑数据,结合傅里叶变换带通滤波去除噪声,并利用去噪扩散隐式模型加速采样;第二种为基于模式识别的递归合成方法,针对上市时间短、可比公司少的股票,采用模式识别与马尔可夫模型学习并生成变长股价序列,引入子时间粒度数据增强缓解数据不足。在主板、科创板、创业板、北交所及NASDAQ、NYSE、AMEX等多个数据集上进行大量实验,结果表明合成数据不仅提升了预测模型性能,还显著增强了个股价格策略的信噪比,且子时间级增强显著提升了合成数据质量。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The financial industry is increasingly seeking robust methods to address the challenges posed by data scarcity and low signal-to-noise ratios, which limit the application of deep learning techniques in stock market analysis. This paper presents two innovative generative model-based approaches to synthesize stock data, specifically tailored for different scenarios within the A-share market in China. The first method, a sector-based synthesis approach, enhances the signal-to-noise ratio of stock data by classifying the characteristics of stocks from various sectors in China's A-share market. This method employs an Approximate Non-Local Total Variation algorithm to smooth the generated data, a bandpass filtering method based on Fourier Transform to eliminate noise, and Denoising Diffusion Implicit Models to accelerate sampling speed. The second method, a recursive stock data synthesis approach based on pattern recognition, is designed to synthesize data for stocks with short listing periods and limited comparable companies. It leverages pattern recognition techniques and Markov models to learn and generate variable-length stock sequences, while introducing a sub-time-level data augmentation method to alleviate data scarcity issues.We validate the effectiveness of these methods through extensive experiments on various datasets, including those from the main board, STAR Market, Growth Enterprise Market Board, Beijing Stock Exchange, NASDAQ, NYSE, and AMEX. The results demonstrate that our synthesized data not only improve the performance of predictive models but also enhance the signal-to-noise ratio of individual stock signals in price trading strategies. Furthermore, the introduction of sub-time-level data significantly improves the quality of synthesized data.

生成模型金融时序数据增强量化交易

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。