arXiv:2501.00826q-fin.TRcs.AI2025-01被引 36

用多智能体系统融合多种数据,实现可解释的加密货币投资决策。

LLM-Powered Multi-Agent System for Automated Crypto Portfolio Management

  • 三类专用智能体分工协作,分别处理行情、新闻和交易信号。
  • 最佳配置在52周回测中收益达133.52%,夏普比率达1.502。
  • 决策过程可追溯,适合需要透明性的量化投资场景。

加密货币组合管理需融合结构化价格与链上时序数据、非结构化新闻文本及技术指标,在高波动与实时性约束下进行。现有深度学习方法虽具预测能力,但黑箱特性限制实际应用;单一大语言模型代理难以处理多模态输入。本文提出多智能体系统(MAS)框架,由三个专业化代理构成:负责市场动态的Crypto Agent、负责周度新闻情绪的News Agent、负责信号融合与组合执行的Trading Agent,通过分层、协同与辩论三种通信架构实现任务分解。评估四种能力配置:零样本、思维链(CoT)、检索增强生成(RAG)与技能增强。在2025年日历年内对市值排名前15的L1区块链原生加密货币进行52周回测,最优配置Hierarchical (Skill) 实现累计收益133.52%与夏普比率1.502,优于单代理版本、被动基准与深度学习基线。消融实验表明Crypto Agent最关键,其移除导致收益下降42.57个百分点。跨模型对比显示,该系统在GPT-4o、GPT-5与Claude Sonnet 4.5上均优于单代理基线,证明多智能体协作优势具有模型无关性。相较黑箱深度学习,所有投资决策均可追溯至明确的智能体推理过程,提供可解释且高效的多模态加密货币组合管理方案。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Cryptocurrency portfolio management requires the fusion of heterogeneous multi-modal signals, including structured price and on-chain time series, unstructured news text, and technical indicators, under high-volatility and real-time constraints. While deep learning approaches show predictive capability, their opacity limits practical adoption, and single large language model (LLM) agents struggle to process the breadth of modality-specific inputs needed for robust decision-making. We propose a multi-agent system (MAS) framework in which three modality-specialised agents, a Crypto Agent for market dynamics, a News Agent for weekly news sentiment, and a Trading Agent for signal fusion and portfolio execution, decompose the task across three communication architectures: hierarchical, collaborative, and debate. We evaluate four capability configurations: zero-shot, chain-of-thought (CoT), retrieval-augmented generation (RAG), and skill-augmented. In a 52-week backtest over calendar year 2025 across the top 15 L1 blockchain native cryptocurrencies by market capitalisation as of January 2025, the best configuration, Hierarchical (Skill), achieves a cumulative return of 133.52% and a Sharpe ratio of 1.502, outperforming single-agent variants, passive benchmarks, and deep learning baselines. An ablation study identifies the Crypto Agent as the most critical component, with its removal reducing cumulative return by 42.57 percentage points. A cross-model comparison further shows that MAS outperforms the single-agent baseline under GPT-4o, GPT-5, and Claude Sonnet 4.5, suggesting that the benefit of multi-agent coordination is model-agnostic. Unlike black-box deep learning models, every portfolio decision is traceable to explicit agent reasoning, offering an interpretable and effective approach to multi-modal cryptocurrency portfolio management.

多智能体加密投资可解释性大模型应用

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