融合无人机与地磁线圈数据,提升城市交通速度预测精度
Multi-Source Urban Traffic Flow Forecasting with Drone and Loop Detector Data
- 构建图模型HiMSNet,融合无人机与地磁线圈多源数据
- 在低覆盖率和噪声环境下,多源数据使预测准确率提升
- 针对路段级速度预测更具挑战,尤其在高峰拥堵时
交通预测是交通研究的基础任务,但现有研究主要依赖地磁线圈单模态数据。随着人工智能与无人机技术的发展,利用无人机进行高效、精准且灵活的空中交通观测成为可能。将无人机数据与现有基础设施结合,可构建大范围城市路网的多传感器移动性观测体系。本文研究多源交通速度预测问题,同时使用无人机与地磁线圈数据。提出一种简单而有效的基于图的模型HiMSNet,以整合多模态数据并学习时空相关性。详细分析表明,在高需求场景下,路段级速度预测比区域级更困难,尤其面对更严重的拥堵和变化的交通动态。在传感器覆盖较低且受噪声影响的情况下,同时使用无人机与地磁线圈数据,相比单模态可显著提升预测准确性。基于真实城市道路网络中车辆轨迹的模拟研究,凸显了在交通预测与监测中融合无人机数据的重要价值。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Traffic forecasting is a fundamental task in transportation research, however the scope of current research has mainly focused on a single data modality of loop detectors. Recently, the advances in Artificial Intelligence and drone technologies have made possible novel solutions for efficient, accurate and flexible aerial observations of urban traffic. As a promising traffic monitoring approach, drone-captured data can create an accurate multi-sensor mobility observatory for large-scale urban networks, when combined with existing infrastructure. Therefore, this paper investigates the problem of multi-source traffic speed prediction, simultaneously using drone and loop detector data. A simple yet effective graph-based model HiMSNet is proposed to integrate multiple data modalities and learn spatio-temporal correlations. Detailed analysis shows that predicting accurate segment-level speed is more challenging than the regional speed, especially under high-demand scenarios with heavier congestions and varying traffic dynamics. Utilizing both drone and loop detector data, the prediction accuracy can be improved compared to single-modality cases, when the sensors have lower coverages and are subject to noise. Our simulation study based on vehicle trajectories in a real urban road network has highlighted the added value of integrating drones in traffic forecasting and monitoring.
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