让大模型理解时间序列的语义结构,提升少样本预测能力
Context-Alignment: Activating and Enhancing LLM Capabilities in Time Series
- 通过语言上下文对齐,将时间序列转化为大模型熟悉的语义结构
- 在少样本和零样本场景下显著提升预测准确率,最高提升18.3%
- 适合需要少样本学习的时间序列任务,如金融、医疗预测
近期,利用预训练大语言模型(LLMs)处理时间序列(TS)任务受到关注,核心在于激活和增强其能力。现有方法多依赖词元级对齐,忽视了大模型在自然语言理解上的深层优势——即对语言逻辑与结构的内在把握,而非仅表层嵌入处理。本文提出一种新范式:上下文对齐(Context-Alignment, CA),通过将时间序列与大模型熟悉的语言环境中的语言成分对齐,使大模型能够上下文化地理解时间序列数据,从而激活其能力。具体而言,该方法包含结构对齐与逻辑对齐,由双尺度上下文对齐图神经网络(DSCA-GNNs)实现,用于处理时间序列-语言多模态输入。结构对齐采用双尺度节点描述时间序列-语言的分层结构,使大模型能将长序列视为整体语言单元,同时保留原始词元特征;逻辑对齐通过有向边引导语义逻辑关系,确保上下文语义连贯性。在此框架下,我们提出一种实例化方法:少样本提示上下文对齐(FSCA),可灵活嵌入预训练大模型各层,增强其对逻辑与结构的感知,进而提升性能。大量实验表明,FSCA在各类任务中均有效,尤其在少样本与零样本预测中表现突出,验证了上下文对齐提供了强大的先验上下文知识。代码已开源:https://github.com/tokaka22/ICLR25-FSCA。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Recently, leveraging pre-trained Large Language Models (LLMs) for time series (TS) tasks has gained increasing attention, which involves activating and enhancing LLMs' capabilities. Many methods aim to activate LLMs' capabilities based on token-level alignment, but overlook LLMs' inherent strength in natural language processing -- \textit{their deep understanding of linguistic logic and structure rather than superficial embedding processing.} We propose Context-Alignment (CA), a new paradigm that aligns TS with a linguistic component in the language environments familiar to LLMs to enable LLMs to contextualize and comprehend TS data, thereby activating their capabilities. Specifically, such context-level alignment comprises structural alignment and logical alignment, which is achieved by Dual-Scale Context-Alignment GNNs (DSCA-GNNs) applied to TS-language multimodal inputs. Structural alignment utilizes dual-scale nodes to describe hierarchical structure in TS-language, enabling LLMs to treat long TS data as a whole linguistic component while preserving intrinsic token features. Logical alignment uses directed edges to guide logical relationships, ensuring coherence in the contextual semantics. Following the DSCA-GNNs framework, we propose an instantiation method of CA, termed Few-Shot prompting Context-Alignment (FSCA), to enhance the capabilities of pre-trained LLMs in handling TS tasks. FSCA can be flexibly and repeatedly integrated into various layers of pre-trained LLMs to improve awareness of logic and structure, thereby enhancing performance. Extensive experiments show the effectiveness of FSCA and the importance of Context-Alignment across tasks, particularly in few-shot and zero-shot forecasting, confirming that Context-Alignment provides powerful prior knowledge on context. The code is open-sourced at https://github.com/tokaka22/ICLR25-FSCA.
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