用球员速度与反应时间量化抢断时机，让防守压力可计算、可分析。
Pressing Intensity: An Intuitive Measure for Pressing in Soccer
- 结合速度、方向和反应时间，算出防守者拦截对手或球所需时间。
- 通过逻辑函数将拦截时间转为概率值，实现逐帧动态评估。
- 适合教练和分析师用以优化战术，尤其擅长识别高压逼抢策略。
抢断是足球中关键的防守策略，通过施压持球队以夺回控球权。然而现有度量方法在位置数据、球员移动和速度考量上常显不足。本文提出一种新框架，利用定位追踪数据与Spearman's Pitch Control模型组件，融合球员速度、运动方向及反应时间，计算防守者拦截进攻者或球所需时间。该时间-拦截值经逻辑函数转换为概率，实现每帧画面的动态、直观分析。模型能捕捉每位球员移动对场上压力的影响，为教练、分析师及决策者提供可操作洞察。本方法构建了鲁棒且可解释的指标体系，助力识别抢断策略、深化情境分析，并衍生新指标，显著提升现代足球的分析能力。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Pressing is a fundamental defensive strategy in football, characterized by applying pressure on the ball owning team to regain possession. Despite its significance, existing metrics for measuring pressing often lack precision or comprehensive consideration of positional data, player movement and speed. This research introduces an innovative framework for quantifying pressing intensity, leveraging advancements in positional tracking data and components from Spearman's Pitch Control model. Our method integrates player velocities, movement directions, and reaction times to compute the time required for a defender to intercept an attacker or the ball. This time-to-intercept measure is then transformed into probabilistic values using a logistic function, enabling dynamic and intuitive analysis of pressing situations at the individual frame level. the model captures how every player's movement influences pressure on the field, offering actionable insights for coaches, analysts, and decision-makers. By providing a robust and intepretable metric, our approach facilitates the identification of pressing strategies, advanced situational analyses, and the derivation of metrics, advancing the analytical capabilities for modern football.
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