arXiv:2501.04894cs.LGstat.ME2025-01被引 10

机器学习正重塑工程模型,带来精准却难理解的矛盾挑战。

A Look into How Machine Learning is Reshaping Engineering Models: the Rise of Analysis Paralysis, Optimal yet Infeasible Solutions, and the Inevitable Rashomon Paradox

  • 用演绎、归纳、溯因三法融合机器学习于工程问题
  • 准确率提升反致物理机制理解下降,出现分析瘫痪
  • 优化结果常违背工程直觉,引发解释与物理的矛盾

机器学习在工程领域的应用日益广泛,尽管其统计基础与传统经验公式一致,却仍面临质疑。本文以结构工程为例,探讨机器学习如何冲击传统工程哲学与职业身份。虽有研究证明其能提升预测精度、优化设计并分析复杂行为,但同时也引发对人类直觉弱化和算法可解释性的担忧。本文提出通过演绎、归纳与溯因三种推理方式实现成功集成,并揭示三大核心悖论:分析瘫痪(准确率提高导致对物理机理理解减弱)、不可行解(优化产生违背工程直觉的非常规设计)、拉什蒙效应(解释方法与物理规律之间出现矛盾)。论文最后呼吁重新思考工程认知范式与教育方法,以调和传统原则与机器学习的冲突。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The widespread acceptance of empirically derived codal provisions and equations in civil engineering stands in stark contrast to the skepticism facing machine learning (ML) models, despite their shared statistical foundations. This paper examines this philosophical tension through the lens of structural engineering and explores how integrating ML challenges traditional engineering philosophies and professional identities. Recent efforts have documented how ML enhances predictive accuracy, optimizes designs, and analyzes complex behaviors. However, one might also raise concerns about the diminishing role of human intuition and the interpretability of algorithms. To showcase this rarely explored front, this paper presents how ML can be successfully integrated into various engineering problems by means of formulation via deduction, induction, and abduction. Then, this paper identifies three principal paradoxes that could arise when adopting ML: analysis paralysis (increased prediction accuracy leading to a reduced understanding of physical mechanisms), infeasible solutions (optimization resulting in unconventional designs that challenge engineering intuition), and the Rashomon effect (where contradictions in explainability methods and physics arise). This paper concludes by addressing these paradoxes and arguing the need to rethink epistemological shifts in engineering and engineering education and methodologies to harmonize traditional principles with ML.

机器学习工程建模可解释性悖论

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