arXiv:2501.07157cs.AI2025-01被引 10

用多模态图学习预测社区老人慢性病风险,提升28%预测准确率。

CureGraph: Contrastive Multi-Modal Graph Representation Learning for Urban Living Circle Health Profiling and Prediction

  • 融合视觉与文本信息构建社区图模型,捕捉空间关联特征。
  • 在真实数据上提升基线模型28%的R²,精准预测老人慢病风险。
  • 适合城市规划与公共健康决策者,支持跨社区对比分析。

在邻里层面早期发现并预测老年人健康状况下降,对城市规划和公共卫生政策制定具有重要意义。现有研究虽证实生活环境与健康结果相关,但多依赖单一数据模态或简单特征拼接,难以全面刻画适老型城市环境。为此,我们提出CureGraph,一种基于对比学习的多模态图表示学习框架,用于推断各邻里单元中老年人常见慢性病的流行程度。该方法整合住宅区及其周边兴趣点的图像与文本评论等多模态信息,通过预训练视觉与文本编码器结合图建模技术,捕获跨模态空间依赖关系,生成面向老年健康的社区嵌入表示。在真实数据集上的大量实验表明,CureGraph在老年人疾病风险预测任务中平均提升基线模型28%的R²表现。此外,模型可识别慢病发展阶段,并支持邻里间公共卫生比较分析,为可持续城市发展与生活质量提升提供可操作洞察。代码已公开于https://github.com/jinlin2021/CureGraph。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The early detection and prediction of health status decline among the elderly at the neighborhood level are of great significance for urban planning and public health policymaking. While existing studies affirm the connection between living environments and health outcomes, most rely on single data modalities or simplistic feature concatenation of multi-modal information, limiting their ability to comprehensively profile the health-oriented urban environments. To fill this gap, we propose CureGraph, a contrastive multi-modal representation learning framework for urban health prediction that employs graph-based techniques to infer the prevalence of common chronic diseases among the elderly within the urban living circles of each neighborhood. CureGraph leverages rich multi-modal information, including photos and textual reviews of residential areas and their surrounding points of interest, to generate urban neighborhood embeddings. By integrating pre-trained visual and textual encoders with graph modeling techniques, CureGraph captures cross-modal spatial dependencies, offering a comprehensive understanding of urban environments tailored to elderly health considerations. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that CureGraph improves the best baseline by $28\%$ on average in terms of $R^2$ across elderly disease risk prediction tasks. Moreover, the model enables the identification of stage-wise chronic disease progression and supports comparative public health analysis across neighborhoods, offering actionable insights for sustainable urban development and enhanced quality of life. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/jinlin2021/CureGraph.

多模态图学习城市健康慢病预测

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