揭示文本客服中沉默流失问题,量化其对效率与成本的影响
Silent Abandonment in Text-Based Contact Centers: Identifying, Quantifying, and Mitigating its Operational Impacts
- 用分类模型识别沉默流失,覆盖3%-70%的用户
- 沉默流失致效率降3.2%,系统容量减15.3%,单人年成本增5457美元
- 提出EM算法估算耐心度,建议通过服务设计改善体验
为提升服务质量,企业推出文本客服渠道。相比传统电话中心,文本中心难以准确衡量客户体验指标如放弃率和耐心度,主要因存在沉默放弃现象——客户未通知系统即离开,造成代理时间浪费且状态不明。本研究旨在测量沉默放弃的规模并减轻其影响。分类模型显示,17家公司的客户中,沉默放弃比例达3%-70%。一项研究发现,71.3%的放弃客户采取沉默方式,导致代理效率下降3.2%、系统容量减少15.3%,每名代理年均成本增加5457美元。本文提出一种期望最大化(EM)算法,在不确定性下估计客户耐心度,并识别影响因素。研究建议:企业应使用分类模型评估放弃范围,结合EM算法分析耐心水平;可采用预测性干预或优化服务设计来缓解影响。例如,允许客户在队列中打字虽带来数据缺失挑战,但显著提升耐心、缩短服务时间,降低放弃率并减少人力需求。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
In the quest to improve services, companies offer customers the option to interact with agents via texting. Such contact centers face unique challenges compared to traditional call centers, as measuring customer experience proxies like abandonment and patience involves uncertainty. A key source of this uncertainty is silent abandonment, where customers leave without notifying the system, wasting agent time and leaving their status unclear. Silent abandonment also obscures whether a customer was served or left. Our goals are to measure the magnitude of silent abandonment and mitigate its effects. Classification models show that 3%-70% of customers across 17 companies abandon silently. In one study, 71.3% of abandoning customers did so silently, reducing agent efficiency by 3.2% and system capacity by 15.3%, incurring $5,457 in annual costs per agent. We develop an expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm to estimate customer patience under uncertainty and identify influencing covariates. We find that companies should use classification models to estimate abandonment scope and our EM algorithm to assess patience. We suggest strategies to operationally mitigate the impact of silent abandonment by predicting suspected silent-abandonment behavior or changing service design. Specifically, we show that while allowing customers to write while waiting in the queue creates a missing data challenge, it also significantly increases patience and reduces service time, leading to reduced abandonment and lower staffing requirements.
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