arXiv:2501.09616cs.LG2025-01

在噪声干扰下准确识别低秩图模型的参数与结构。

ARMAX identification of low rank graphical models

  • 将问题分解为最大熵协方差扩展与ARMAX图模型估计两步。
  • 提出基于最大似然的估计方法,在弱噪声下仍具高精度。
  • 适用于高维系统建模,适合处理含噪声的观测数据。

在大规模系统中,复杂内部关系常由低秩随机过程描述。从采样数据中识别这类过程的预测模型时,谱密度的低秩特性常因不可避免的测量噪声而被掩盖。现有低秩识别方法通常未显式考虑噪声,导致即使在弱噪声下也存在显著误差。本文研究了噪声环境下低秩过程的识别问题。发现带噪声的测量模型在潜在变量图模型中具有稀疏加低秩结构。具体地,首先将问题分解为最大熵协方差扩展和基于自回归滑动平均外生输入(ARMAX)模型的低秩图估计两部分。针对ARMAX低秩图模型,提出一种基于最大似然的估计方法,并在特定条件下证明其可辨识性和一致性。仿真结果验证了该算法在参数估计与噪声数据滤除方面的可靠性能。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

In large-scale systems, complex internal relationships are often present. Such interconnected systems can be effectively described by low rank stochastic processes. When identifying a predictive model of low rank processes from sampling data, the rank-deficient property of spectral densities is often obscured by the inevitable measurement noise in practice. However, existing low rank identification approaches often did not take noise into explicit consideration, leading to non-negligible inaccuracies even under weak noise. In this paper, we address the identification issue of low rank processes under measurement noise. We find that the noisy measurement model admits a sparse plus low rank structure in latent-variable graphical models. Specifically, we first decompose the problem into a maximum entropy covariance extension problem, and a low rank graphical estimation problem based on an autoregressive moving-average with exogenous input (ARMAX) model. To identify the ARMAX low rank graphical models, we propose an estimation approach based on maximum likelihood. The identifiability and consistency of this approach are proven under certain conditions. Simulation results confirm the reliable performance of the entire algorithm in both the parameter estimation and noisy data filtering.

低秩模型图模型系统识别噪声鲁棒

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