arXiv:2502.00060cs.SIcs.AI2025-02被引 8

分析社交媒体上巴以冲突的舆论分布与情绪倾向。

Israel-Hamas war through Telegram, Reddit and Twitter

  • 整合Telegram、Twitter、Reddit三平台数据,分析舆论话题与情感
  • 发现冲突各方存在明显舆论极化现象,部分讨论具宣传特征
  • 适合关注数字时代地缘政治传播的学者与媒体研究者

自2023年10月7日以来,巴以冲突已造成超过48,000人死亡(其中逾17,000人为儿童,多数来自加沙),超30,000人受伤,逾10,000人失踪,超100万人被迫流离失所。基础设施损毁严重:87%住房、80%公共建筑、60%农田受损;36所医院中17所被毁,68%道路网络、87%校舍受损。该冲突引发全球社交媒体热议,本研究聚焦加密通讯平台Telegram,构建涵盖12.5万条消息的频道数据集(2025年10月23日至当前),并结合公开的推特(2001条推文)与Reddit(200万条评论)数据。通过内容量分析、实体识别、BERT主题建模及情感分析,揭示不同参与者舆论中的主题分布与情绪倾向。研究发现,政治阵营与外部群体塑造了高度极化的叙事格局,并识别出可能由各方操控的舆论趋势,为理解危机期间社交平台传播机制提供依据。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The Israeli-Palestinian conflict started on 7 October 2023, have resulted thus far to over 48,000 people killed including more than 17,000 children with a majority from Gaza, more than 30,000 people injured, over 10,000 missing, and over 1 million people displaced, fleeing conflict zones. The infrastructure damage includes the 87\% of housing units, 80\% of public buildings and 60\% of cropland 17 out of 36 hospitals, 68\% of road networks and 87\% of school buildings damaged. This conflict has as well launched an online discussion across various social media platforms. Telegram was no exception due to its encrypted communication and highly involved audience. The current study will cover an analysis of the related discussion in relation to different participants of the conflict and sentiment represented in those discussion. To this end, we prepared a dataset of 125K messages shared on channels in Telegram spanning from 23 October 2025 until today. Additionally, we apply the same analysis in two publicly available datasets from Twitter containing 2001 tweets and from Reddit containing 2M opinions. We apply a volume analysis across the three datasets, entity extraction and then proceed to BERT topic analysis in order to extract common themes or topics. Next, we apply sentiment analysis to analyze the emotional tone of the discussions. Our findings hint at polarized narratives as the hallmark of how political factions and outsiders mold public opinion. We also analyze the sentiment-topic prevalence relationship, detailing the trends that may show manipulation and attempts of propaganda by the involved parties. This will give a better understanding of the online discourse on the Israel-Palestine conflict and contribute to the knowledge on the dynamics of social media communication during geopolitical crises.

社交媒体舆论分析地缘冲突情感分析

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