让医学轨迹生成可精准控制干预时间和影响范围。
Controllable Sequence Editing for Biological and Clinical Trajectories
- 学习时间概念,实现对特定时刻和变量的精准编辑。
- 在8个数据集上,编辑准确率提升16.28%(MAE),延迟生成提升26.73%。
- 适合临床研究、药物效果模拟等需要可解释干预的场景。
纵向序列的条件生成模型可在给定条件输入时生成或修改轨迹,但往往无法控制干预发生的时间(时机)和影响范围(作用对象)。现有方法多仅处理单变量序列,或假设条件影响所有变量和时间点。而真实科学与临床场景中,干预如用药或手术通常发生在特定时间,仅影响部分测量值,其余轨迹保持不变。CLEF通过学习编码条件如何及何时改变未来序列演化的时序概念,实现对受影响时间步与变量的精准编辑,同时保留其余序列不变。我们在细胞重编程、患者健康与销售等8个数据集上评估,对比9种前沿基线。结果显示,CLEF在即时序列编辑上平均降低16.28%(MAE),在延迟编辑上平均提升26.73%(MAE)。在反事实推理设定下,零样本生成反事实轨迹的误差最高下降62.84%(MAE)。在1型糖尿病患者案例研究中,CLEF成功识别出使轨迹向更健康状态转变的临床干预策略。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Conditional generation models for longitudinal sequences can produce new or modified trajectories given a conditioning input. However, they often lack control over when the condition should take effect (timing) and which variables it should influence (scope). Most methods either operate only on univariate sequences or assume that the condition alters all variables and time steps. In scientific and clinical settings, interventions instead begin at a specific moment, such as the time of drug administration or surgery, and influence only a subset of measurements while the rest of the trajectory remains unchanged. CLEF learns temporal concepts that encode how and when a condition alters future sequence evolution. These concepts allow CLEF to apply targeted edits to the affected time steps and variables while preserving the rest of the sequence. We evaluate CLEF on 8 datasets spanning cellular reprogramming, patient health, and sales, comparing against 9 state-of-the-art baselines. CLEF improves immediate sequence editing accuracy by 16.28% (MAE) on average against their non-CLEF counterparts. Unlike prior models, CLEF enables one-step conditional generation at arbitrary future times, outperforming their non-CLEF counterparts in delayed sequence editing by 26.73% (MAE) on average. We test CLEF under counterfactual inference assumptions and show up to 62.84% (MAE) improvement on zero-shot conditional generation of counterfactual trajectories. In a case study of patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus, CLEF identifies clinical interventions that generate realistic counterfactual trajectories shifted toward healthier outcomes.
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