arXiv:2502.06847cs.LGcs.CE2025-02被引 23

融合CNN与BiLSTM,精准捕捉金融风险的时空特征。

A Deep Learning Framework Integrating CNN and BiLSTM for Financial Systemic Risk Analysis and Prediction

  • 用CNN提取市场多维特征的局部模式,再用BiLSTM建模时间序列双向依赖。
  • 在真实数据上F1-score达0.88,显著优于BiLSTM、CNN等单模型。
  • 适合关注金融风控智能化的从业者,尤其擅长处理噪声与高维数据。

本研究提出一种结合卷积神经网络(CNN)与双向长短期记忆网络(BiLSTM)的深度学习模型,用于金融系统性风险的判别分析。模型首先利用CNN提取金融市场多维特征的局部模式,再通过BiLSTM建模时间序列的双向依赖关系,全面刻画系统性风险在空间特征与时间动态中的演变规律。实验基于真实金融数据集进行,结果表明该模型在准确率、召回率和F1分数上均显著优于传统单模型(如BiLSTM、CNN、Transformer、TCN),F1-score达到0.88,展现出极强的判别能力。这说明CNN与BiLSTM的联合策略不仅能充分捕捉市场数据的复杂模式,还能有效处理时间序列中的长期依赖问题。此外,研究还验证了模型在抗噪声和高维数据处理方面的鲁棒性,为智能金融风险管理提供有力支持。未来工作将优化模型结构,引入强化学习与多模态数据分析方法,提升模型效率与泛化能力,以应对更复杂的金融环境。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

This study proposes a deep learning model based on the combination of convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM) for discriminant analysis of financial systemic risk. The model first uses CNN to extract local patterns of multidimensional features of financial markets, and then models the bidirectional dependency of time series through BiLSTM, to comprehensively characterize the changing laws of systemic risk in spatial features and temporal dynamics. The experiment is based on real financial data sets. The results show that the model is significantly superior to traditional single models (such as BiLSTM, CNN, Transformer, and TCN) in terms of accuracy, recall, and F1 score. The F1-score reaches 0.88, showing extremely high discriminant ability. This shows that the joint strategy of combining CNN and BiLSTM can not only fully capture the complex patterns of market data but also effectively deal with the long-term dependency problem in time series data. In addition, this study also explores the robustness of the model in dealing with data noise and processing high-dimensional data, providing strong support for intelligent financial risk management. In the future, the research will further optimize the model structure, introduce methods such as reinforcement learning and multimodal data analysis, and improve the efficiency and generalization ability of the model to cope with a more complex financial environment.

金融风险深度学习时序分析CNN-BiLSTM

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。