arXiv:2502.06910cs.LGcs.AI2025-02ICLR被引 56

用可学习的频率分解架构,让时间序列预测更准更轻量。

TimeKAN: KAN-based Frequency Decomposition Learning Architecture for Long-term Time Series Forecasting

  • 分频处理+可变形网络,按需建模不同频率特征。
  • 在多个真实数据集上超越现有方法,参数量极小。
  • 适合需要高精度与低资源消耗的长期预测场景。

现实世界的时间序列常包含交织的多重频率成分,导致精准预测困难。将混合频率成分分解为单一频率成分是自然选择,但不同频率模式的信息密度差异大,统一建模易造成表征失真。受近期柯尔莫哥洛夫-阿诺德网络(KAN)灵活性启发,我们提出基于KAN的频率分解学习架构(TimeKAN),以应对多重频率混合带来的复杂预测挑战。TimeKAN由三级模块构成:级联频率分解(CFD)块、多阶KAN表示学习(M-KAN)块和频率混合块。CFD块采用自底向上的级联策略,获取各频率带的序列表示;利用KAN的高灵活性,设计新型M-KAN块,在每个频率带内学习并表示特定时序模式;最后通过频率混合块将频率带重构为原始格式。在多个真实时间序列数据集上的大量实验表明,TimeKAN在保持极轻量化的同时达到顶尖性能。代码已开源:https://github.com/huangst21/TimeKAN。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Real-world time series often have multiple frequency components that are intertwined with each other, making accurate time series forecasting challenging. Decomposing the mixed frequency components into multiple single frequency components is a natural choice. However, the information density of patterns varies across different frequencies, and employing a uniform modeling approach for different frequency components can lead to inaccurate characterization. To address this challenges, inspired by the flexibility of the recent Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN), we propose a KAN-based Frequency Decomposition Learning architecture (TimeKAN) to address the complex forecasting challenges caused by multiple frequency mixtures. Specifically, TimeKAN mainly consists of three components: Cascaded Frequency Decomposition (CFD) blocks, Multi-order KAN Representation Learning (M-KAN) blocks and Frequency Mixing blocks. CFD blocks adopt a bottom-up cascading approach to obtain series representations for each frequency band. Benefiting from the high flexibility of KAN, we design a novel M-KAN block to learn and represent specific temporal patterns within each frequency band. Finally, Frequency Mixing blocks is used to recombine the frequency bands into the original format. Extensive experimental results across multiple real-world time series datasets demonstrate that TimeKAN achieves state-of-the-art performance as an extremely lightweight architecture. Code is available at https://github.com/huangst21/TimeKAN.

时间序列频率分解KAN轻量化

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