arXiv:2502.10569cs.LGcs.AI2025-02被引 1

用小波与余弦变换降噪,提升长时序预测抗干扰能力

HADL Framework for Noise Resilient Long-Term Time Series Forecasting

  • 融合DWT与DCT在时频域分离噪声与有效模式
  • 引入轻量低秩预测层,降低计算开销并抑制残余噪声
  • 在高噪声或不规则数据上表现突出,适合真实场景

长期时间序列预测在金融、经济和能源等领域至关重要,准确可靠的长期预测支撑战略决策。尽管机器学习模型取得进展,但长回溯窗口中的时间噪声影响仍被低估,常导致性能下降与效率降低。本文提出一种新框架,通过离散小波变换(DWT)与离散余弦变换(DCT)结合实现降噪并提取鲁棒的长期特征,可在时域与频域分离有效模式与噪声。同时引入轻量级低秩线性预测层,进一步削弱残余噪声影响并提升内存效率。实验表明,该方法在多种基准数据集上具备优异的抗噪能力,显著降低计算复杂度,性能达到竞争性或领先水平。尤其在高噪声或不规则模式场景下表现卓越,适用于真实世界预测任务。代码已公开于 https://github.com/forgee-master/HADL。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Long-term time series forecasting is critical in domains such as finance, economics, and energy, where accurate and reliable predictions over extended horizons drive strategic decision-making. Despite the progress in machine learning-based models, the impact of temporal noise in extended lookback windows remains underexplored, often degrading model performance and computational efficiency. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that addresses these challenges by integrating the Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) and Discrete Cosine Transform (DCT) to perform noise reduction and extract robust long-term features. These transformations enable the separation of meaningful temporal patterns from noise in both the time and frequency domains. To complement this, we introduce a lightweight low-rank linear prediction layer that not only reduces the influence of residual noise but also improves memory efficiency. Our approach demonstrates competitive robustness to noisy input, significantly reduces computational complexity, and achieves competitive or state-of-the-art forecasting performance across diverse benchmark datasets. Extensive experiments reveal that the proposed framework is particularly effective in scenarios with high noise levels or irregular patterns, making it well suited for real-world forecasting tasks. The code is available in https://github.com/forgee-master/HADL.

时间序列降噪长时预测DWT

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