arXiv:2502.10709cs.CLcs.AI2025-02ICLR被引 24

研究大模型评估中的不确定性,发现评估结果受模型类型和规模影响,提出更可靠的评估方法。

An Empirical Analysis of Uncertainty in Large Language Model Evaluations

  • 对比9个主流大模型评估器,分析其在不同场景下的评估波动性。
  • 通过特殊提示策略降低评估不确定性,提升对异常数据的识别能力。
  • 构建可感知不确定性的评估模型ConfiLM,适用于高风险场景下的可靠性评估。

随着大语言模型作为评判者(LLM-as-a-Judge)成为评估大模型的新范式,其评估结果的对齐性、偏见与稳定性引发关注。尽管已有大量工作聚焦于对齐与偏见问题,但对评估稳定性研究仍不足。本文针对9个广泛使用的LLM评估器,在2种不同评估设置下开展大规模实验,系统探究基于模型的评估不确定性。结果表明,不同模型家族和规模的评估器表现出显著差异的不确定性。通过细致比较分析发现,采用特定提示策略(推理阶段或后训练阶段)可在一定程度上缓解评估不确定性。进一步地,利用不确定性信息增强模型在分布外(OOD)数据上的可靠性与检测能力,我们基于人工标注的微调集,对一个名为ConfiLM的不确定性感知评估器进行微调,并在源自2024年奥运会的自建测试集上评估其OOD评估表现。实验表明,在微调阶段引入不确定性信息,能显著提升模型在分布外场景下的评估性能。代码与数据已开源:https://github.com/hasakiXie123/LLM-Evaluator-Uncertainty。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

As LLM-as-a-Judge emerges as a new paradigm for assessing large language models (LLMs), concerns have been raised regarding the alignment, bias, and stability of LLM evaluators. While substantial work has focused on alignment and bias, little research has concentrated on the stability of LLM evaluators. In this paper, we conduct extensive experiments involving 9 widely used LLM evaluators across 2 different evaluation settings to investigate the uncertainty in model-based LLM evaluations. We pinpoint that LLM evaluators exhibit varying uncertainty based on model families and sizes. With careful comparative analyses, we find that employing special prompting strategies, whether during inference or post-training, can alleviate evaluation uncertainty to some extent. By utilizing uncertainty to enhance LLM's reliability and detection capability in Out-Of-Distribution (OOD) data, we further fine-tune an uncertainty-aware LLM evaluator named ConfiLM using a human-annotated fine-tuning set and assess ConfiLM's OOD evaluation ability on a manually designed test set sourced from the 2024 Olympics. Experimental results demonstrate that incorporating uncertainty as additional information during the fine-tuning phase can largely improve the model's evaluation performance in OOD scenarios. The code and data are released at: https://github.com/hasakiXie123/LLM-Evaluator-Uncertainty.

模型评估不确定性大模型

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