arXiv:2502.11203physics.plasm-phcs.LG2025-02

用多尺度神经网络实现等离子体长期稳定预测

Multiscale autonomous forecasting of plasma systems' dynamics using neural networks

  • 分层网络在不同时间尺度训练,协同捕捉快变与慢变特征
  • 相比单尺度模型,预测误差积累显著减少,有效延长预测时长
  • 适合需要长期精准模拟的等离子体研究与数字孪生应用

等离子体系统具有复杂的多尺度动力学特性,传统数值模拟难以有效解析。机器学习可通过数据驱动方式学习其动态行为,但现有时间步进模型存在误差累积、不稳定和预测时长远等问题。本文提出一种分层多尺度神经网络架构,通过在不同时间尺度上训练多个神经网络,联合捕捉精细与宏观动态,缓解递归计算中的误差传播。细尺度网络精准刻画快速演化特征,粗尺度网络提供长期上下文,降低递归更新频率,限制微小误差随时间累积。首先在典型非线性动力系统上验证,结果表明单尺度模型因误差递增迅速发散,而多尺度方法显著提升稳定性并扩展预测范围。随后应用于两个具有重要科学与应用价值的等离子体构型,成功保持空间结构并捕捉多尺度动态。实证显示,该框架在所研究的等离子体测试案例中优于传统单尺度网络,为高效等离子体预报与数字孪生应用提供了有力工具。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Plasma systems exhibit complex multiscale dynamics, resolving which poses significant challenges for conventional numerical simulations. Machine learning (ML) offers an alternative by learning data-driven representations of these dynamics. Yet existing ML time-stepping models suffer from error accumulation, instability, and limited long-term forecasting horizons. This paper demonstrates the application of a hierarchical multiscale neural network architecture for autonomous plasma forecasting. The framework integrates multiple neural networks trained across different temporal scales to capture both fine-scale and large-scale behaviors while mitigating compounding error in recursive evaluation. Fine-scale networks accurately resolve fast-evolving features, while coarse-scale networks provide broader temporal context, reducing the frequency of recursive updates and limiting the accumulation of small prediction errors over time. We first evaluate the method using canonical nonlinear dynamical systems and compare its performance against classical single-scale neural networks. The results demonstrate that single-scale neural networks experience rapid divergence due to recursive error accumulation, whereas the multiscale approach improves stability and extends prediction horizons. Next, our ML model is applied to two plasma configurations of high scientific and applied significance, demonstrating its ability to preserve spatial structures and capture multiscale plasma dynamics. By leveraging multiple time-stepping resolutions, the applied framework is shown to outperform conventional single-scale networks for the studied plasma test cases. The results of this work position the hierarchical multiscale neural network as a promising tool for efficient plasma forecasting and digital twin applications.

等离子体多尺度神经网络预测

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