用随机优化降低大供应链库存,省钱又保服务。
Stochastic Optimization of Inventory at Large-scale Supply Chains
- 把库存问题转为带约束的随机优化,考虑真实世界不确定性。
- 实测使库存减少10%-35%,全球企业年省数亿美金。
- 适合需要降本增效的大型制造与零售企业使用。
当今全球供应链面临市场快速变化、网络复杂性与依赖性增强,以及供应、需求等多重动态不确定性带来的挑战。企业通常使用物料需求计划(MRP)软件设置原材料、在制品和成品的库存缓冲以保障客户服务水平,但持有过多库存会加剧运营复杂性,并锁定数百万美元资本。现有商业MRP方案普遍忽略不确定性,难以获得最优解。在C3 AI,我们从根本上将库存管理问题重构为受约束的随机优化问题,提出一种仿真-优化框架,在维持预定服务水平的前提下最小化库存及相关成本。该框架旨在找到最优补货参数,满足预设服务水平约束及所有实际运营约束。这些参数可反馈至MRP系统以驱动最优订货,或直接用于下达最优订单。该方法已在全球大型企业中成功应用,使库存水平降低10%-35%,带来数亿美元经济收益。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Today's global supply chains face growing challenges due to rapidly changing market conditions, increased network complexity and inter-dependency, and dynamic uncertainties in supply, demand, and other factors. To combat these challenges, organizations employ Material Requirements Planning (MRP) software solutions to set inventory stock buffers - for raw materials, work-in-process goods, and finished products - to help them meet customer service levels. However, holding excess inventory further complicates operations and can lock up millions of dollars of capital that could be otherwise deployed. Furthermore, most commercially available MRP solutions fall short in considering uncertainties and do not result in optimal solutions for modern enterprises. At C3 AI, we fundamentally reformulate the inventory management problem as a constrained stochastic optimization. We then propose a simulation-optimization framework that minimizes inventory and related costs while maintaining desired service levels. The framework's goal is to find the optimal reorder parameters that minimize costs subject to a pre-defined service-level constraint and all other real-world operational constraints. These optimal reorder parameters can be fed back into an MRP system to drive optimal order placement, or used to place optimal orders directly. This approach has proven successful in reducing inventory levels by 10-35 percent, resulting in hundreds of millions of dollars of economic benefit for major enterprises at a global scale.
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