用路口流量数据优化交通仿真模型,提升精度并支持实时数字孪生。
Calibration of Vehicular Traffic Simulation Models by Local Optimization
- 基于局部优化的随机仿真法,仅需流量计数据即可校准大规模交通模型。
- 在布鲁塞尔实测数据上,校准后模型平均准确率比现有方法高16%。
- 适合城市交通管理、数字孪生系统建设,尤其适用于数据有限的场景。
仿真是交通管理专家优化交通系统、预判基础设施变更影响的重要工具。利用流量数据校准仿真模型面临环境复杂、数据不足及交通动态不确定性等挑战。本文提出一种新型基于随机仿真的交通校准技术:(i)采用局部校准方式,(ii)可扩展至大规模交通环境,(iii)仅需流量计数据。局部策略实现校准任务的分布式处理,接近实时性能,支持数字孪生应用;仅依赖流量数据使方法具有通用性,适用于从社区到区域的不同规模场景。我们在比利时布鲁塞尔的仿真模型上,使用真实监测设备数据评估该方法。校准工作基于开源交通仿真器SUMO实现。实验结果表明,与当前最优方法相比,本方法校准后的模型平均准确率提升16%。同时,我们公开了基于真实数据生成的交通模型输出。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Simulation is a valuable tool for traffic management experts to assist them in refining and improving transportation systems and anticipating the impact of possible changes in the infrastructure network before their actual implementation. Calibrating simulation models using traffic count data is challenging because of the complexity of the environment, the lack of data, and the uncertainties in traffic dynamics. This paper introduces a novel stochastic simulation-based traffic calibration technique. The novelty of the proposed method is: (i) it performs local traffic calibration, (ii) it allows calibrating simulated traffic in large-scale environments, (iii) it requires only the traffic count data. The local approach enables decentralizing the calibration task to reach near real-time performance, enabling the fostering of digital twins. Using only traffic count data makes the proposed method generic so that it can be applied in different traffic scenarios at various scales (from neighborhood to region). We assess the proposed technique on a model of Brussels, Belgium, using data from real traffic monitoring devices. The proposed method has been implemented using the open-source traffic simulator SUMO. Experimental results show that the traffic model calibrated using the proposed method is on average 16% more accurate than those obtained by the state-of-the-art methods, using the same dataset. We also make available the output traffic model obtained from real data.
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