arXiv:2502.13185physics.ao-phcs.AI2025-02被引 7

用自适应物理约束提升混合气候模型稳定性,实现高效长期模拟。

CondensNet: Enabling stable long-term climate simulations via hybrid deep learning models with adaptive physical constraints

  • 设计神经网络嵌入自适应物理约束,修正不合理的凝结过程。
  • 有效抑制水汽过饱和,使长期模拟更稳定且计算效率更高。
  • 适合需要高精度与稳定性的长期气候预测研究者使用。

准确高效的气候模拟对理解地球气候变化至关重要。现有通用环流模型(GCM)难以捕捉云和对流等未解析的物理过程,而云解析模型虽更精确但计算成本过高。混合建模结合深度学习与方程驱动的GCM是可行替代方案,但常面临长期稳定性与准确性问题。本文发现,凝结过程中的水汽过饱和是导致混合模型不稳定的关键因素。为此,提出CondensNet——一种嵌入自适应物理约束的新型神经网络架构,可纠正非物理解的凝结过程。CondensNet显著缓解水汽过饱和,提升模拟稳定性,同时保持精度并优于超参数化方案的计算效率。将CondensNet集成至GCM中形成PCNN-GCM(物理约束神经网络GCM),一个专为真实条件(含海洋与陆地)下长期稳定气候模拟设计的混合深度学习框架。该工作在混合气候建模中具有里程碑意义,首次实现物理约束的自适应融入,推动了高精度、轻量化、稳定的长期气候模拟发展。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate and efficient climate simulations are crucial for understanding Earth's evolving climate. However, current general circulation models (GCMs) face challenges in capturing unresolved physical processes, such as cloud and convection. A common solution is to adopt cloud resolving models, that provide more accurate results than the standard subgrid parametrisation schemes typically used in GCMs. However, cloud resolving models, also referred to as super paramtetrizations, remain computationally prohibitive. Hybrid modeling, which integrates deep learning with equation-based GCMs, offers a promising alternative but often struggles with long-term stability and accuracy issues. In this work, we find that water vapor oversaturation during condensation is a key factor compromising the stability of hybrid models. To address this, we introduce CondensNet, a novel neural network architecture that embeds a self-adaptive physical constraint to correct unphysical condensation processes. CondensNet effectively mitigates water vapor oversaturation, enhancing simulation stability while maintaining accuracy and improving computational efficiency compared to super parameterization schemes. We integrate CondensNet into a GCM to form PCNN-GCM (Physics-Constrained Neural Network GCM), a hybrid deep learning framework designed for long-term stable climate simulations in real-world conditions, including ocean and land. PCNN-GCM represents a significant milestone in hybrid climate modeling, as it shows a novel way to incorporate physical constraints adaptively, paving the way for accurate, lightweight, and stable long-term climate simulations.

气候模拟混合建模神经网络

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