arXiv:2502.14115cs.LGcs.CE2025-02KDD被引 1

用机器学习识别非法伐木地点,助力打击木材贸易造假

Chasing the Timber Trail: Machine Learning to Reveal Harvest Location Misrepresentation

  • 结合同位素数据与气象变量,构建定位伐木地点的机器学习模型
  • 在橡树样本上表现优于现有顶尖方法,准确率显著提升
  • 已用于欧洲执法机构查伪,可推广至有机产品溯源

非法砍伐对全球生物多样性、气候稳定构成重大威胁,并压低合法木材价格,影响全球各地生计与社区。稳定同位素比率分析(SIRA)正成为鉴定贸易有机产品来源地的重要工具,其空间分布受大气与环境条件影响,可用于地理溯源。本文展示了一个部署的机器学习流水线,融合同位素值与大气变量以确定木材采伐地点,并引入不确定性估计,便于分析师解读结果。实验基于全球范围内的橡树(Quercus spp.)样本开展,该模型在判定商用木材地理来源方面优于现有先进方法,已被欧洲执法机构用于识别采伐地虚假申报。同时,我们提出了框架优化方向,及其在供应链中识别其他假冒有机产品的潜力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Illegal logging poses a significant threat to global biodiversity, climate stability, and depresses international prices for legal wood harvesting and responsible forest products trade, affecting livelihoods and communities across the globe. Stable isotope ratio analysis (SIRA) is rapidly becoming an important tool for determining the harvest location of traded, organic, products. The spatial pattern in stable isotope ratio values depends on factors such as atmospheric and environmental conditions and can thus be used for geographic origin identification. We present here the results of a deployed machine learning pipeline where we leverage both isotope values and atmospheric variables to determine timber harvest location. Additionally, the pipeline incorporates uncertainty estimation to facilitate the interpretation of harvest location determination for analysts. We present our experiments on a collection of oak (Quercus spp.) tree samples from its global range. Our pipeline outperforms comparable state-of-the-art models determining geographic harvest origin of commercially traded wood products, and has been used by European enforcement agencies to identify harvest location misrepresentation. We also identify opportunities for further advancement of our framework and how it can be generalized to help identify the origin of falsely labeled organic products throughout the supply chain.

非法伐木同位素分析机器学习溯源

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