arXiv:2502.14895cs.CVeess.SP2025-02ICLR被引 11

用3D高分辨率表示雷达数据,实现气象短时预报的高效精准预测。

High-Dynamic Radar Sequence Prediction for Weather Nowcasting Using Spatiotemporal Coherent Gaussian Representation

  • 用时空一致的高斯点云表示动态雷达序列,提升空间分辨率。
  • 相比现有方法,空间分辨率提升16倍以上,且模型推理更快。
  • 适合需要高精度、实时气象预警的应急与交通管理场景。

气象短时预报需基于当前观测预测未来雷达回波序列,在灾害应对、交通调度和城市规划中具有重要意义。现有方法受限于训练与存储效率,多聚焦于特定高度的二维空间预测,而每个时刻的三维体数据预测仍处于空白。为此,本文提出一个完整的3D雷达序列预测框架,采用新提出的时空一致高斯点阵(STC-GS)进行动态雷达表征,并结合GauMamba模型实现高效精准预测。不同于传统4D高斯表示,STC-GS在每帧优化一组3D高斯点,有效捕捉其在连续帧间的运动,确保高斯点在时间上的一致跟踪,特别适用于预测任务。在此基础上,利用时间相关的高斯组训练GauMamba,该模型将记忆机制引入Mamba框架,可高效学习高斯组的时间演化规律,处理大量高斯标记。实验表明,所提方法在保持高效的同时,相较现有3D表征方法实现超过16倍的空间分辨率提升;且在多种高动态气象条件下,预测性能优于当前最优方法。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Weather nowcasting is an essential task that involves predicting future radar echo sequences based on current observations, offering significant benefits for disaster management, transportation, and urban planning. Current prediction methods are limited by training and storage efficiency, mainly focusing on 2D spatial predictions at specific altitudes. Meanwhile, 3D volumetric predictions at each timestamp remain largely unexplored. To address such a challenge, we introduce a comprehensive framework for 3D radar sequence prediction in weather nowcasting, using the newly proposed SpatioTemporal Coherent Gaussian Splatting (STC-GS) for dynamic radar representation and GauMamba for efficient and accurate forecasting. Specifically, rather than relying on a 4D Gaussian for dynamic scene reconstruction, STC-GS optimizes 3D scenes at each frame by employing a group of Gaussians while effectively capturing their movements across consecutive frames. It ensures consistent tracking of each Gaussian over time, making it particularly effective for prediction tasks. With the temporally correlated Gaussian groups established, we utilize them to train GauMamba, which integrates a memory mechanism into the Mamba framework. This allows the model to learn the temporal evolution of Gaussian groups while efficiently handling a large volume of Gaussian tokens. As a result, it achieves both efficiency and accuracy in forecasting a wide range of dynamic meteorological radar signals. The experimental results demonstrate that our STC-GS can efficiently represent 3D radar sequences with over $16\times$ higher spatial resolution compared with the existing 3D representation methods, while GauMamba outperforms state-of-the-art methods in forecasting a broad spectrum of high-dynamic weather conditions.

气象预测3D表示高斯点云序列建模

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