用博弈论方法选关键数据,提升商品溯源准确性。
Optimizing Product Provenance Verification using Data Valuation Methods
- 基于谢林值量化数据价值,指导高效采样
- 提升模型在不同地区和数据下的预测准确率
- 已在真实执法系统中验证,助力打击假冒贸易
商品溯源在供应链中仍是重大挑战,尤其在地缘冲突与边界变动背景下,非法采伐木材或被盗农产品的来源伪装问题突出。稳定同位素比率分析(SIRA)结合高斯过程回归构建的等值线图(isoscapes),已成为地理来源验证的有效工具。尽管这些模型已在监管机构、认证组织和企业中实际部署,但仍受限于数据稀缺和数据集选择不佳。本文提出一种新型数据估值框架,用于优化用于SIRA的机器学习模型训练数据的选择与利用。通过使用谢林值量化单个样本的边际效用,该方法指导主动监测计划中的战略性、低成本且稳健的数据采样。优先选择高信息量样本可显著提升模型在多种数据集和地理区域中的鲁棒性与预测精度。该框架已在真实运行的溯源验证系统中实现并验证,证明其具有切实可行的现实影响。大量实验与实际部署表明,该系统显著增强了溯源验证能力,有效遏制了虚假贸易行为,强化了全球供应链的监管执行。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Determining and verifying product provenance remains a critical challenge in global supply chains, particularly as geopolitical conflicts and shifting borders create new incentives for misrepresentation of commodities, such as hiding the origin of illegally harvested timber or stolen agricultural products. Stable Isotope Ratio Analysis (SIRA), combined with Gaussian process regression-based isoscapes, has emerged as a powerful tool for geographic origin verification. While these models are now actively deployed in operational settings supporting regulators, certification bodies, and companies, they remain constrained by data scarcity and suboptimal dataset selection. In this work, we introduce a novel deployed data valuation framework designed to enhance the selection and utilization of training data for machine learning models applied in SIRA. By quantifying the marginal utility of individual samples using Shapley values, our method guides strategic, cost-effective, and robust sampling campaigns within active monitoring programs. By prioritizing high-informative samples, our approach improves model robustness and predictive accuracy across diverse datasets and geographies. Our framework has been implemented and validated in a live provenance verification system currently used by enforcement agencies, demonstrating tangible, real-world impact. Through extensive experiments and deployment in a live provenance verification system, we show that this system significantly enhances provenance verification, mitigates fraudulent trade practices, and strengthens regulatory enforcement of global supply chains.
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