用对数分歧度提升贝叶斯神经网络的分布外检测能力
Logit Disagreement: OoD Detection with Bayesian Neural Networks
- 通过修正前软标签值的分歧度估计认知不确定性
- 在多个数据集上显著优于互信息,媲美预测熵基准
- 适合关注模型置信度与分布外检测的研究者
贝叶斯神经网络(BNN)通过参数后验分布估计实现不确定性量化,在分布外检测(OoD)中表现优异。传统方法使用预测熵(总不确定性)进行检测,但其混淆了偶然不确定性和认知不确定性。本文受贝叶斯变分自编码器启发,提出基于修正前软标签值(logits)分歧度的新方法,用于在均场变分推断下估计认知不确定性。三种新提出的认知不确定性指标在多个OoD实验中显著优于互信息,且在MNIST和CIFAR10上性能与贝叶斯基准预测熵相当。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), which estimate the full posterior distribution over model parameters, are well-known for their role in uncertainty quantification and its promising application in out-of-distribution detection (OoD). Amongst other uncertainty measures, BNNs provide a state-of-the art estimation of predictive entropy (total uncertainty) which can be decomposed as the sum of mutual information and expected entropy. In the context of OoD detection the estimation of predictive uncertainty in the form of the predictive entropy score confounds aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty, the latter being hypothesized to be high for OoD points. Despite these justifications, the mutual information score has been shown to perform worse than predictive entropy. Taking inspiration from Bayesian variational autoencoder (BVAE) literature, this work proposes to measure the disagreement between a corrected version of the pre-softmax quantities, otherwise known as logits, as an estimate of epistemic uncertainty for Bayesian NNs under mean field variational inference. The three proposed epistemic uncertainty scores demonstrate marked improvements over mutual information on a range of OoD experiments, with equal performance otherwise. Moreover, the epistemic uncertainty scores perform on par with the Bayesian benchmark predictive entropy on a range of MNIST and CIFAR10 experiments.
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