arXiv:2502.15848stat.MEcs.LG2025-02被引 1

提出新算法,更快更准估计药物代谢参数分布。

A non-parametric optimal design algorithm for population pharmacokinetics

  • 用梯度法智能选择参数点,避免无效计算。
  • 相同精度下,迭代次数和耗时大幅减少。
  • 适合需快速确定药物剂量的研发场景。

本文提出一种非参数最优设计(NPOD)算法,用于高效估计群体药代动力学模型参数的联合分布。相较于此前团队提出的非参数自适应网格(NPAG)算法,虽然精度相当,但NPOD采用梯度方法智能推荐新支持点,显著减少对无关参数点的评估,从而降低迭代次数和整体运行时间。在两个数据集上的实验表明,NPOD能以更少计算资源达到与NPAG相近的估计效果。鉴于快速准确确定药物剂量对药代研究的重要性,NPOD为非参数建模提供了重要工具。未来需进一步分析不同条件下两者的适用性差异。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

This paper introduces a non-parametric estimation algorithm designed to effectively estimate the joint distribution of model parameters with application to population pharmacokinetics. Our research group has previously developed the non-parametric adaptive grid (NPAG) algorithm, which while accurate, explores parameter space using an ad-hoc method to suggest new support points. In contrast, the non-parametric optimal design (NPOD) algorithm uses a gradient approach to suggest new support points, which reduces the amount of time spent evaluating non-relevant points and by this the overall number of cycles required to reach convergence. In this paper, we demonstrate that the NPOD algorithm achieves similar solutions to NPAG across two datasets, while being significantly more efficient in both the number of cycles required and overall runtime. Given the importance of developing robust and efficient algorithms for determining drug doses quickly in pharmacokinetics, the NPOD algorithm represents a valuable advancement in non-parametric modeling. Further analysis is needed to determine which algorithm performs better under specific conditions.

药代动力学非参数优化算法参数估计

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