通过优化地表径流,稳定咸水湖水位,缓解生态危机。
Multi-Objective Optimization of Water Resource Allocation for Groundwater Recharge and Surface Runoff Management in Watershed Systems
- 基于敏感性分析识别影响湖水位的关键因素,确定地表径流为主要调控变量。
- 需在蓄水期将径流提升8.7倍、排水期提升33.5倍,才能维持湖水位恒定。
- 为干旱区湖泊生态修复提供可量化的水资源调度方案,适合水利规划者参考。
土地退化与空气污染主要源于盐湖干涸引发的土壤盐渍化和荒漠化,以及湖床裸露导致的扬尘。乌尔米亚湖完全干涸已造成严重的社区环境灾难。本研究提出一个优化问题,旨在确定维持该盐湖水位所需的总地表径流量。该过程包含两个阶段:首先利用历史数据,通过Sobol'-Jansen与Morris敏感性分析方法识别影响湖水位的关键因素;其次在变化的设计变量下,优化有效变量以稳定湖水位。结果表明,地下水位与总地表径流量对湖水位具有显著非线性及交互影响。基于敏感性分析,调整总地表径流可有效管理湖水位。采用遗传算法、非线性优化与模式搜索技术求解优化问题。湖水位约束设定为每月恒定值。为维持这一稳定模式,蓄水期需将地表径流增加约8.7倍,排水期则需增加33.5倍。研究成果未来可为湖泊生态修复提供指导。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Land degradation and air pollution are primarily caused by the salinization of soil and desertification that occurs from the drying of salinity lakes and the release of dust into the atmosphere because of their dried bottom. The complete drying up of a lake has caused a community environmental catastrophe. In this study, we presented an optimization problem to determine the total surface runoff to maintain the level of salinity lake (Urmia Lake). The proposed process has two key stages: identifying the influential factors in determining the lake water level using sensitivity analysis approaches based upon historical data and optimizing the effective variable to stabilize the lake water level under changing design variables. Based upon the Sobol'-Jansen and Morris techniques, the groundwater level and total surface runoff flow are highly effective with nonlinear and interacting impacts of the lake water level. As a result of the sensitivity analysis, we found that it may be possible to effectively manage lake levels by adjusting total surface runoff. We used genetic algorithms, non-linear optimization, and pattern search techniques to solve the optimization problem. Furthermore, the lake level constraint is established based on a pattern as a constant number every month. In order to maintain a consistent pattern of lake levels, it is necessary to increase surface runoff by approximately 8.7 times during filling season. It is necessary to increase this quantity by 33.5 times during the draining season. In the future, the results may serve as a guide for the rehabilitation of the lake.
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