arXiv:2502.17814stat.MLcs.AI2025-02综述被引 31

让统计学助力大模型可信性建设

An Overview of Large Language Models for Statisticians

  • 从统计视角提出提升大模型可信度的方法
  • 聚焦不确定性量化、可解释性等关键问题
  • 适合关注模型可靠性的研究者与实践者

大语言模型(LLMs)在人工智能领域展现出卓越能力,涵盖文本生成、推理与决策等多种任务。然而,面对不确定性量化、因果推断、分布偏移等新挑战,需深化与统计学的融合。本文探讨统计学家可在可信性与透明度方面为大模型发展提供的贡献,重点关注不确定性量化、可解释性、公平性、隐私保护、水印技术及模型适应等问题。同时分析大模型在统计分析中的潜在应用。通过促进人工智能与统计学的深度协作,推动大模型理论与实践进步,助力应对复杂社会挑战。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as transformative tools in artificial intelligence (AI), exhibiting remarkable capabilities across diverse tasks such as text generation, reasoning, and decision-making. While their success has primarily been driven by advances in computational power and deep learning architectures, emerging problems -- in areas such as uncertainty quantification, decision-making, causal inference, and distribution shift -- require a deeper engagement with the field of statistics. This paper explores potential areas where statisticians can make important contributions to the development of LLMs, particularly those that aim to engender trustworthiness and transparency for human users. Thus, we focus on issues such as uncertainty quantification, interpretability, fairness, privacy, watermarking and model adaptation. We also consider possible roles for LLMs in statistical analysis. By bridging AI and statistics, we aim to foster a deeper collaboration that advances both the theoretical foundations and practical applications of LLMs, ultimately shaping their role in addressing complex societal challenges.

大模型统计学可信性可解释性

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