arXiv:2502.20084cs.ROcs.AI2025-02被引 20

用驾驶者安全感知建模,提升自动驾驶轨迹预测准确率

Minds on the Move: Decoding Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving with Cognitive Insights

  • 引入认知安全概念,解析人类驾驶决策机制
  • 长时预测性能提升:NGSIM+12.0%,HighD+28.2%,MoCAD+20.8%
  • 适用于复杂交通场景,尤其数据缺失时仍具鲁棒性

在混合自动驾驶环境中,准确预测周边车辆的未来轨迹对自动驾驶车辆的安全运行至关重要。车辆轨迹由人类驾驶员的决策过程决定,但现有模型主要关注数据中的统计模式,忽视了对人类驾驶员决策机制的理解,导致难以捕捉真实意图,长期轨迹预测性能不佳。为此,我们提出认知启发的Transformer(CITF),引入‘感知安全’这一认知概念,反映不同驾驶行为下的风险容忍度差异。设计了感知安全感知模块,包含定量安全评估以衡量场景中的主观风险水平,以及驾驶员行为画像以刻画驾驶风格。此外,提出新型模块Leanformer,用于捕捉车辆间的社交交互。CITF在三个主流数据集上表现显著提升:长时预测中,相较于现有基准,分别在NGSIM上提升12.0%、HighD上提升28.2%、MoCAD上提升20.8%。其在数据有限或缺失场景下也表现出强鲁棒性,优于多数SOTA基线,为实际应用铺平道路。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

In mixed autonomous driving environments, accurately predicting the future trajectories of surrounding vehicles is crucial for the safe operation of autonomous vehicles (AVs). In driving scenarios, a vehicle's trajectory is determined by the decision-making process of human drivers. However, existing models primarily focus on the inherent statistical patterns in the data, often neglecting the critical aspect of understanding the decision-making processes of human drivers. This oversight results in models that fail to capture the true intentions of human drivers, leading to suboptimal performance in long-term trajectory prediction. To address this limitation, we introduce a Cognitive-Informed Transformer (CITF) that incorporates a cognitive concept, Perceived Safety, to interpret drivers' decision-making mechanisms. Perceived Safety encapsulates the varying risk tolerances across drivers with different driving behaviors. Specifically, we develop a Perceived Safety-aware Module that includes a Quantitative Safety Assessment for measuring the subject risk levels within scenarios, and Driver Behavior Profiling for characterizing driver behaviors. Furthermore, we present a novel module, Leanformer, designed to capture social interactions among vehicles. CITF demonstrates significant performance improvements on three well-established datasets. In terms of long-term prediction, it surpasses existing benchmarks by 12.0% on the NGSIM, 28.2% on the HighD, and 20.8% on the MoCAD dataset. Additionally, its robustness in scenarios with limited or missing data is evident, surpassing most state-of-the-art (SOTA) baselines, and paving the way for real-world applications.

轨迹预测认知建模自动驾驶Transformer

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