arXiv:2503.01722cs.AIcs.LG2025-03被引 1

用图神经网络自动学习邻居影响机制,更好估计个体差异化的同伴效应。

Learning Exposure Mapping Functions for Inferring Heterogeneous Peer Effects

  • 基于GNN自动学习复杂同伴暴露映射函数
  • 在多种未知影响机制下对异质同伴效应估计更鲁棒
  • 适合研究社交网络中个体差异影响的学者

在因果推断中,干扰指网络中同伴行为会影响个体结果。同伴效应是指个体在不同同伴暴露水平下的反事实结果差异,即个体受同伴处理、行为或影响的程度。估计同伴效应需定义同伴暴露表示方式。现有方法通常基于受处理同伴的数量或比例定义暴露。近年研究尝试更复杂的暴露函数以捕捉同伴影响力的差异性,但均未显式解决自动学习暴露映射函数的问题。本文聚焦于学习该函数以估计异质同伴效应(即相同暴露水平下因个体上下文不同导致的结果差异)。提出EgoNetGNN,一种基于图神经网络的方法,可自动学习包含局部邻域结构和边属性的复杂影响机制的暴露映射函数。我们证明,仅依赖处理同伴数量或比例的GNN模型,或简单学习暴露的模型,难以捕捉此类机制。在合成与半合成网络数据上的全面评估表明,相较于现有最优基线,本方法在估计异质同伴效应时对未知影响机制更具鲁棒性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

In causal inference, interference refers to the phenomenon in which the actions of peers in a network can influence an individual's outcome. Peer effect refers to the difference in counterfactual outcomes of an individual for different levels of peer exposure, the extent to which an individual is exposed to the treatments, actions, or behaviors of peers. Estimating peer effects requires deciding how to represent peer exposure. Typically, researchers define an exposure mapping function that aggregates peer treatments and outputs peer exposure. Most existing approaches for defining exposure mapping functions assume peer exposure based on the number or fraction of treated peers. Recent studies have investigated more complex functions of peer exposure which capture that different peers can exert different degrees of influence. However, none of these works have explicitly considered the problem of automatically learning the exposure mapping function. In this work, we focus on learning this function for the purpose of estimating heterogeneous peer effects, where heterogeneity refers to the variation in counterfactual outcomes for the same peer exposure but different individual's contexts. We develop EgoNetGNN, a graph neural network (GNN)-based method, to automatically learn the appropriate exposure mapping function allowing for complex peer influence mechanisms that, in addition to peer treatments, can involve the local neighborhood structure and edge attributes. We show that GNN models that use peer exposure based on the number or fraction of treated peers or learn peer exposure naively face difficulty accounting for such influence mechanisms. Our comprehensive evaluation on synthetic and semi-synthetic network data shows that our method is more robust to different unknown underlying influence mechanisms when estimating heterogeneous peer effects when compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

因果推断同伴效应图神经网络异质性

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