解决地震下结构失效模式预测的数据不平衡问题
Constructing balanced datasets for predicting failure modes in structural systems under seismic hazards
- 通过关键地震动特征识别与概率密度估计,生成均衡数据集
- 在两种结构模型上验证,提升机器学习预测准确率
- 适合做地震韧性评估与智能预警的研究者参考
地震作用下结构失效模式的准确预测对地震风险与韧性评估至关重要。传统基于仿真的方法常导致数据集失衡,主要由非失效或常见失效模式主导,限制了机器学习预测效果。本文提出一种构建均衡数据集的框架,包含三个关键步骤:首先识别关键地震动特征(GMFs)以有效表征地震动时程;其次采用自适应算法估计不同失效域在关键GMFs与结构参数空间中的概率密度;最后通过缩放因子优化过程将样本转化为地震动时程。基于生成样本的结构参数与对应时程进行非线性时程分析,构建平衡数据集。在平衡与非平衡数据集上训练深度神经网络模型,凸显数据均衡的重要性。进一步通过两种不同结构模型在实测与合成地震动下的数值试验,验证该框架在缓解数据不平衡、提升机器学习性能方面的鲁棒性与有效性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurate prediction of structural failure modes under seismic excitations is essential for seismic risk and resilience assessment. Traditional simulation-based approaches often result in imbalanced datasets dominated by non-failure or frequently observed failure scenarios, limiting the effectiveness in machine learning-based prediction. To address this challenge, this study proposes a framework for constructing balanced datasets that include distinct failure modes. The framework consists of three key steps. First, critical ground motion features (GMFs) are identified to effectively represent ground motion time histories. Second, an adaptive algorithm is employed to estimate the probability densities of various failure domains in the space of critical GMFs and structural parameters. Third, samples generated from these probability densities are transformed into ground motion time histories by using a scaling factor optimization process. A balanced dataset is constructed by performing nonlinear response history analyses on structural systems with parameters matching the generated samples, subjected to corresponding transformed ground motion time histories. Deep neural network models are trained on balanced and imbalanced datasets to highlight the importance of dataset balancing. To further evaluate the framework's applicability, numerical investigations are conducted using two different structural models subjected to recorded and synthetic ground motions. The results demonstrate the framework's robustness and effectiveness in addressing dataset imbalance and improving machine learning performance in seismic failure mode prediction.
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