用专家知识约束优化模型,提升燃煤电厂能效并减碳
Domain Consistent Industrial Decarbonisation of Global Coal Power Plants
- 将领域知识作为约束融入优化流程,保证方案可落地
- 实测电厂热效率提升0.64%,汽轮机热耗降低93 kJ/kWh
- 可推广至59个同类电厂,全生命周期减排超1.5亿吨
机器学习与优化技术(MLOPT)在推动工业系统脱碳方面具有巨大潜力,但实际应用常因缺乏领域合规性和系统特异性一致性,导致方案技术上不严谨、操作上难实施。为此,我们提出一种新型人机协同(HITL)约束优化框架,将领域知识与数据驱动方法结合,确保解决方案兼具技术合理性与运营可行性。以一台660兆瓦超临界燃煤电厂为例,通过在优化过程中嵌入领域知识约束,所获方案与电厂运行模式一致,并可无缝集成至其控制系统。实证验证显示,热效率平均提升0.64%,汽轮机热耗平均降低93 kJ/kWh。将分析扩展至全球59座同类型机组,估算其全生命周期累计减排二氧化碳1.564亿吨。结果表明,该HITL-MLOPT框架在实现领域合规、可执行的工业脱碳方案方面具有显著潜力,为全球燃煤发电减排提供了可扩展路径。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Machine learning and optimisation techniques (MLOPT) hold significant potential to accelerate the decarbonisation of industrial systems by enabling data-driven operational improvements. However, the practical application of MLOPT in industrial settings is often hindered by a lack of domain compliance and system-specific consistency, resulting in suboptimal solutions with limited real-world applicability. To address this challenge, we propose a novel human-in-the-loop (HITL) constraint-based optimisation framework that integrates domain expertise with data-driven methods, ensuring solutions are both technically sound and operationally feasible. We demonstrate the efficacy of this framework through a case study focused on enhancing the thermal efficiency and reducing the turbine heat rate of a 660 MW supercritical coal-fired power plant. By embedding domain knowledge as constraints within the optimisation process, our approach yields solutions that align with the plant's operational patterns and are seamlessly integrated into its control systems. Empirical validation confirms a mean improvement in thermal efficiency of 0.64\% and a mean reduction in turbine heat rate of 93 kJ/kWh. Scaling our analysis to 59 global coal power plants with comparable capacity and fuel type, we estimate a cumulative lifetime reduction of 156.4 million tons of carbon emissions. These results underscore the transformative potential of our HITL-MLOPT framework in delivering domain-compliant, implementable solutions for industrial decarbonisation, offering a scalable pathway to mitigate the environmental impact of coal-based power generation worldwide.
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