提出可自适应市场变化并支持做空的强化学习投资框架
MTS: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Portfolio Management Framework with Time-Awareness and Short-Selling
- 用时序感知编码器和注意力机制捕捉市场动态特征
- 支持自动做空,风险控制采用增量条件风险价值方法
- 在5个数据集上平均收益提升30.67%,夏普比率高29.33%
投资组合管理在金融领域仍是关键挑战,传统方法在复杂多变的市场中表现不足。尽管深度强化学习展现出潜力,但在动态风险控制、时间特征利用及做空等复杂策略集成方面仍存局限,导致绩效不佳、易受波动冲击、错失机会。本文提出一种具备时序感知与做空能力的深度强化学习投资组合管理框架(MTS),通过新型编码-注意力机制融合市场时间特征,设计基于趋势的自动做空策略,并引入创新的增量条件风险价值(Incremental Conditional Value at Risk)实现风险控制,增强适应性与性能。在2019至2023年五个不同数据集上的实验验证表明,MTS显著优于传统算法与先进机器学习方法:累计收益平均提升30.67%,夏普比率平均提升29.33%,同时在索提诺、欧米茄等指标上均表现更优,充分证明其在平衡风险与收益方面的有效性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Portfolio management remains a crucial challenge in finance, with traditional methods often falling short in complex and volatile market environments. While deep reinforcement approaches have shown promise, they still face limitations in dynamic risk management, exploitation of temporal markets, and incorporation of complex trading strategies such as short-selling. These limitations can lead to suboptimal portfolio performance, increased vulnerability to market volatility, and missed opportunities in capturing potential returns from diverse market conditions. This paper introduces a Deep Reinforcement Learning Portfolio Management Framework with Time-Awareness and Short-Selling (MTS), offering a robust and adaptive strategy for sustainable investment performance. This framework utilizes a novel encoder-attention mechanism to address the limitations by incorporating temporal market characteristics, a parallel strategy for automated short-selling based on market trends, and risk management through innovative Incremental Conditional Value at Risk, enhancing adaptability and performance. Experimental validation on five diverse datasets from 2019 to 2023 demonstrates MTS's superiority over traditional algorithms and advanced machine learning techniques. MTS consistently achieves higher cumulative returns, Sharpe, Omega, and Sortino ratios, underscoring its effectiveness in balancing risk and return while adapting to market dynamics. MTS demonstrates an average relative increase of 30.67% in cumulative returns and 29.33% in Sharpe ratio compared to the next best-performing strategies across various datasets.
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