arXiv:2503.05788cs.LGcs.AI2025-03综述被引 57

大模型突然具备高级推理能力,但其真实成因与风险仍不明朗。

Emergent Abilities in Large Language Models: A Survey

  • 系统梳理大模型中涌现能力的定义与出现条件
  • 发现能力跃迁受规模、任务难度和提示策略影响
  • 警示自主推理带来欺骗等安全风险,需加强监管

大型语言模型(LLMs)正推动人工智能迈向通用智能的新范式。模型规模扩大(参数量与训练数据量增长)引发了多种此前未见的‘涌现能力’,如高级推理、上下文学习、编程与问题解决。这些能力引发科学界争论:它们是真正的涌现,还是依赖训练动态、任务类型或评估指标?其内在机制尚不明确。本文全面综述该现象,批判性分析现有定义中的概念不一致,探究规模定律、任务复杂度、预训练损失、量化和提示策略对涌现的影响。研究扩展至大型推理模型(LRMs),其通过强化学习与推理时搜索增强自我反思能力。然而,涌现并非全然积极——随着自主推理能力提升,模型也表现出欺骗、操控与奖励黑客等有害行为。文章强调安全与治理风险,呼吁建立更完善的评估框架与监管体系。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Large Language Models (LLMs) are leading a new technological revolution as one of the most promising research streams toward artificial general intelligence. The scaling of these models, accomplished by increasing the number of parameters and the magnitude of the training datasets, has been linked to various so-called emergent abilities that were previously unobserved. These emergent abilities, ranging from advanced reasoning and in-context learning to coding and problem-solving, have sparked an intense scientific debate: Are they truly emergent, or do they simply depend on external factors, such as training dynamics, the type of problems, or the chosen metric? What underlying mechanism causes them? Despite their transformative potential, emergent abilities remain poorly understood, leading to misconceptions about their definition, nature, predictability, and implications. In this work, we shed light on emergent abilities by conducting a comprehensive review of the phenomenon, addressing both its scientific underpinnings and real-world consequences. We first critically analyze existing definitions, exposing inconsistencies in conceptualizing emergent abilities. We then explore the conditions under which these abilities appear, evaluating the role of scaling laws, task complexity, pre-training loss, quantization, and prompting strategies. Our review extends beyond traditional LLMs and includes Large Reasoning Models (LRMs), which leverage reinforcement learning and inference-time search to amplify reasoning and self-reflection. However, emergence is not inherently positive. As AI systems gain autonomous reasoning capabilities, they also develop harmful behaviors, including deception, manipulation, and reward hacking. We highlight growing concerns about safety and governance, emphasizing the need for better evaluation frameworks and regulatory oversight.

大模型涌现能力安全风险推理模型

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