arXiv:2503.07364cs.MAcs.AI2025-03

用智能仿真模拟民主制度,安全测试未来政治经济构想。

Artificial Utopia: Simulation and Intelligent Agents for a Democratised Future

  • 构建人工乌托邦系统,用智能体模拟真实人类决策行为。
  • 通过公民大会与民主企业案例验证方法可行性,支持政策预演。
  • 适合研究未来治理、社会实验与公共政策设计的学者与实践者。

当前政治与经济领域的自上而下体制难以应对21世纪的紧迫挑战,如气候变化、社会不平等与冲突。自下而上的民主化与参与式方法被视为有前景的替代方案,常带有乌托邦色彩,主张可显著改善政治、社会与生态未来,反制全球多地的威权趋势。然而,制度细节及相关的集体人类行为或文化仍缺乏深入理解与讨论。本文提出一项新研究议程——人工乌托邦(Artificial Utopia),融合形式化与计算方法,以及人工智能技术,用于探索乌托邦式民主化路径。该框架提供虚拟环境,在其中可低风险地测试新型政治理念与经济政策。随着代理建模、强化学习、大语言模型等先进仿真技术日益逼近真实人类认知与集体决策过程,此类方法将极大提升治理实验的科学性与安全性。本文以公民大会与民主企业为例,阐明这些模拟方法如何推动对人工乌托邦的研究。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Prevailing top-down systems in politics and economics struggle to keep pace with the pressing challenges of the 21st century, such as climate change, social inequality and conflict. Bottom-up democratisation and participatory approaches in politics and economics are increasingly seen as promising alternatives to confront and overcome these issues, often with utopian overtones, as proponents believe they may dramatically reshape political, social and ecological futures for the better and in contrast to contemporary authoritarian tendencies across various countries. Institutional specifics and the associated collective human behavior or culture remains little understood and debated, however. In this article, I propose a novel research agenda focusing on utopian democratisation efforts with formal and computational methods as well as with artificial intelligence - I call this agenda Artificial Utopia. Artificial Utopias provide safe testing grounds for new political ideas and economic policies in-silico with reduced risk of negative consequences as compared to testing ideas in real-world contexts. An increasing number of advanced simulation and intelligence methods, that aim at representing human cognition and collective decision-making in more realistic ways, could benefit this process. This includes agent-based modelling, reinforcement learning, large language models and more. I clarify what some of these simulation approaches can contribute to the study of Artificial Utopias with the help of two institutional examples: the citizen assembly and the democratic firm.

人工乌托邦智能体模拟民主实验政策仿真

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