用规划与运动标记预测碰撞风险,提升端到端自动驾驶安全性
Collision Risk Estimation via Loss Prediction in End-to-End Autonomous Driving
- 通过预测碰撞损失是否为正,将风险估计转为二分类任务
- 在NeuroNCAP闭环测试中,碰撞规避能力提升66.5%
- 无需重训练,可插拔部署,适合安全关键场景
碰撞风险估计与规避在自动驾驶系统安全性中至关重要。近年来兴起的端到端自动驾驶系统通过最小化损失来惩罚过于接近其他物体的规划轨迹,具备一定避障能力。然而,多数端到端规划器在输出中并未显式量化碰撞风险。为此,我们提出RiskMonitor,一个高效、可插拔的模块,能解析前沿端到端规划器生成的规划与运动标记,以估计碰撞风险。受基于损失预测的不确定性量化启发,RiskMonitor预测碰撞损失——常用于训练端到端规划器的指标——在规划路径点上是否为正,将碰撞风险估计建模为二分类任务。我们在真实世界nuScenes数据集(开环)和基于神经渲染的模拟器NeuroNCAP(闭环)上评估了RiskMonitor。结果表明,基于标记的方法优于预测驱动方法,包括确定性规则、高斯混合模型和蒙特卡洛丢弃法。当与简单制动策略结合时,RiskMonitor在安全关键场景的闭环测试中使碰撞规避能力提升66.5%。这些结果表明,利用规划与运动标记监控碰撞风险,可在不重新训练的前提下显著提升端到端自动驾驶系统的安全性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Collision risk estimation and avoidance play central roles in the safety of autonomous driving (AD) systems. Recently emerged end-to-end AD systems gain collision avoidance ability by minimizing losses to penalize planning trajectories that are too close to other objects. Despite a significant collision rate during testing, most end-to-end planners do not explicitly quantify the collision risk in their outputs. To address this, we introduce RiskMonitor, an efficient plug-and-play module that interprets planning and motion tokens from state-of-the-art end-to-end planners to estimate collision risk. Inspired by loss prediction based uncertainty quantification, RiskMonitor predicts whether the collision loss -- commonly adopted to train end-to-end planners -- is positive along planned waypoints, framing collision risk estimation as a binary classification task. We evaluate RiskMonitor on the real-world nuScenes dataset (open-loop) and the neural-rendering based simulator, NeuroNCAP (closed-loop). Our token-driven method outperforms prediction-driven approaches, including deterministic rules, Gaussian mixture models, and Monte Carlo Dropout. When integrated with a simple braking policy, RiskMonitor improves collision avoidance ability by $66.5\%$ in a closed-loop test on safety-critical scenarios. These results demonstrate that monitoring collision risk using plan and motion tokens enhances the safety of end-to-end AD without retraining it.
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