arXiv:2503.08231stat.MLcs.LG2025-03被引 3

PAC-Bayes解释泛化能力的前提是先验能覆盖高性能预测器。

How good is PAC-Bayes at explaining generalisation?

  • 基于先验分布诱导的风险分布,决定最优泛化界限。
  • 若先验未覆盖高表现模型,则无法达到目标泛化水平。
  • 揭示了深度学习中数据依赖先验的合理性与局限性。

我们分析了PAC-Bayes界提供有意义泛化保证的必要条件。研究表明,最优泛化保证仅取决于先验分布所诱导的风险分布。具体而言,只有当先验在高性能预测器上分配足够质量时,才能实现目标泛化水平。我们将其与深度学习中普遍采用的数据依赖先验实践相联系,并讨论了PAC-Bayes能否真正解释泛化的命题。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

We discuss necessary conditions for a PAC-Bayes bound to provide a meaningful generalisation guarantee. Our analysis reveals that the optimal generalisation guarantee depends solely on the distribution of the risk induced by the prior distribution. In particular, achieving a target generalisation level is only achievable if the prior places sufficient mass on high-performing predictors. We relate these requirements to the prevalent practice of using data-dependent priors in deep learning PAC-Bayes applications, and discuss the implications for the claim that PAC-Bayes ``explains'' generalisation.

泛化分析概率学习先验设计

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